SAISA South Points1 - Combined V/JV 2021

HostHistoric Virginia Key Beach Park
Date10/02/2021
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Varsity	Varsity	11	13	24
2	Chargers	Chargers	33	22	55
3	Raiders 2	Raiders 2	39	21	60
4	Raiders 1	Raiders 1	59	43	102
5	Raiders	Raiders	32	71	103
6	Knights	Knights	21	97	118
7	ThunderWolves	ThunderWolves	69	53	122
8	Varsity	Varsity	91	34	125
9	Green Wave 1	Green Wave 1	61	70	131
10	Panthers 1	Panthers 1	76	58	134
11	Green Devils	Green Devils	98	46	144
12	Royal Lions	Royal Lions	66	105	171
13	Panthers	Panthers	99	73	172
14	JV	JV	102	73	175
15	Panthers	Panthers	93	87	180
16	Flacons	Flacons	61	120	181
17	Falcons 1	Falcons 1	85	106	191
18	Vero Beach 1	Vero Beach 1	105	91	196
19	Raiders	Raiders	104	107	211
20	Seminole	Seminole	148	88	236
21	Vero Beach 2	Vero Beach 2	80	158	238
22	Raiders 3	Raiders 3	79	177	256
23	Panthers 2	Panthers 2	150	109	259
24	Golden Eagles	Golden Eagles	157	114	271
25	Junior Varsity	Junior Varsity	144	152	296
26	JV	JV	172	137	309
27	Varsity	Varsity	147	176	323
28	Falcons 2	Falcons 2	181	151	332
29	Tigers	Tigers	168	166	334
30	SF BULLDOGS	SF BULLDOGS	173	179	352
31	Green Wave 2	Green Wave 2	163	192	355

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT
Varsity	Varsity	1	2	1	3	2	2	11
Knights	Knights	2	3	7	1	3	5	21
Raiders	Raiders	3	6	11	2	6	4	32
Chargers	Chargers	10	1	10	10	1	1	33
Raiders 2	Raiders 2	5	12	2	7	10	3	39
Raiders 1	Raiders 1	8	10	3	6	16	16	59
Flacons	Flacons	11	9	4	14	9	14	61
Green Wave 1	Green Wave 1	15	4	9	8	17	8	61
Royal Lions	Royal Lions	13	7	14	9	11	12	66
ThunderWolves	ThunderWolves	4	14	8	4	DNF	7	69
Panthers 1	Panthers 1	30	17	6	12	5	6	76
Raiders 3	Raiders 3	9	16	20	13	8	13	79
Vero Beach 2	Vero Beach 2	6	11	13	19	13	18	80
Falcons 1	Falcons 1	19	8	19	15	7	17	85
Varsity	Varsity	22	5	18	11	15	20	91
Panthers	Panthers	20	OCS	17	5	4	15	93
Green Devils	Green Devils	7	18	16	18	20	19	98
Panthers	Panthers	16	OCS	5	16	19	11	99
JV	JV	14	DNF	15	20	12	9	102
Raiders	Raiders	23	19	21	17	14	10	104
Vero Beach 1	Vero Beach 1	18	15	12	21	18	21	105
Junior Varsity	Junior Varsity	DNF	13	26	24	24	25	144
Varsity	Varsity	17	OCS	22	DNF	21	23	147
Seminole	Seminole	26	20	23	26	27	26	148
Panthers 2	Panthers 2	25	DNF	27	22	22	22	150
Golden Eagles	Golden Eagles	29	DNF	24	23	25	24	157
Green Wave 2	Green Wave 2	24	22	DNS	27	26	DNF	163
Tigers	Tigers	28	21	DNF	DNF	23	DNF	168
JV	JV	12	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	172
SF BULLDOGS	SF BULLDOGS	27	DNF	25	25	DNF	DNF	173
Falcons 2	Falcons 2	21	OCS	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	181

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT
Varsity	Varsity	1	1	7	2	1	1	13
Raiders 2	Raiders 2	3	2	4	6	3	3	21
Chargers	Chargers	5	3	3	3	4	4	22
Varsity	Varsity	9	6	2	1	7	9	34
Raiders 1	Raiders 1	7	9	10	8	2	7	43
Green Devils	Green Devils	6	20	1	11	6	2	46
ThunderWolves	ThunderWolves	2	18	5	10	8	10	53
Panthers 1	Panthers 1	12	7	9	5	12	13	58
Green Wave 1	Green Wave 1	16	4	13	7	25	5	70
Raiders	Raiders	4	8	8	9	21	21	71
Panthers	Panthers	13	10	15	4	11	20	73
JV	JV	17	5	14	13	13	11	73
Panthers	Panthers	22	17	6	12	16	14	87
Seminole	Seminole	8	OCS	18	19	5	6	88
Vero Beach 1	Vero Beach 1	18	12	20	15	14	12	91
Knights	Knights	19	OCS	12	16	10	8	97
Royal Lions	Royal Lions	15	13	19	22	17	19	105
Falcons 1	Falcons 1	10	16	16	20	20	24	106
Raiders	Raiders	14	14	22	18	22	17	107
Panthers 2	Panthers 2	11	15	23	23	19	18	109
Golden Eagles	Golden Eagles	21	19	21	21	9	23	114
Flacons	Flacons	23	DNF	11	14	18	22	120
JV	JV	DNF	DNF	17	17	23	16	137
Falcons 2	Falcons 2	20	11	DNF	DNF	24	DNF	151
Junior Varsity	Junior Varsity	24	21	24	25	DNF	26	152
Vero Beach 2	Vero Beach 2	DSQ	DNF	DNF	DNF	15	15	158
Tigers	Tigers	26	22	DNF	DNF	27	27	166
Varsity	Varsity	25	23	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	176
Raiders 3	Raiders 3	DNS	OCS	25	24	DNF	DNF	177
SF BULLDOGS	SF BULLDOGS	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	26	25	179
Green Wave 2	Green Wave 2	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	192

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.140+0.14

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Green Wave 1 Green Wave 1	15	15	15	15	15	15
Green Wave 2 Green Wave 2	54	54	54	54	54	54
Panthers Panthers	3	3	3	3	3	3
Raiders Raiders	2	2	2	2	2	2
Royal Lions Royal Lions	57	57	57	57	57	57
Varsity Varsity	18	18	18	18	18	18
Falcons 1 Falcons 1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Falcons 2 Falcons 2	48	48	48	48	48	48
Tigers Tigers	40	40	40	40	40	40
Golden Eagles Golden Eagles	5	5	5	5	5	5
ThunderWolves ThunderWolves	16	16	16	16	16	16
Flacons Flacons	14	14	14	14	14	14
Panthers 1 Panthers 1	17	17	17	17	17	17
Panthers 2 Panthers 2	85	85	85	85	85	85
Panthers Panthers	7	7	7	7	7	7
Raiders 1 Raiders 1	12	12	12	12	12	12
Raiders 2 Raiders 2	62	62	62	62	62	62
Raiders 3 Raiders 3	84	84	84	84	84	84
JV JV	55	55	55	55	55	55
Raiders Raiders	88	88	88	88	88	88
Varsity Varsity	11	11	11	11	11	11
Seminole Seminole	6	6	6	6	6	6
Chargers Chargers	10	10	10	10	10	10
SF BULLDOGS SF BULLDOGS	50	50	50	50	50	50
Green Devils Green Devils	13	13	13	13	13	13
Knights Knights	9	9	9	9	9	9
Junior Varsity Junior Varsity	44	44	44	44	44	44
Varsity Varsity	8	8	8	8	8	8
Vero Beach 1 Vero Beach 1	4	4	4	4	4	4
Vero Beach 2 Vero Beach 2	65	65	65	65	65	65
JV JV	79	79	79	79	79	79

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Green Wave 1 Green Wave 1	15	15	15	15	15	15
Green Wave 2 Green Wave 2	54	54	54	54	54	54
Panthers Panthers	3	3	3	3	3	3
Raiders Raiders	2	2	2	2	2	2
Royal Lions Royal Lions	57	57	57	57	57	57
Varsity Varsity	18	18	18	18	18	18
Falcons 1 Falcons 1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Falcons 2 Falcons 2	48	48	48	48	48	48
Tigers Tigers	40	40	40	40	40	40
Golden Eagles Golden Eagles	5	5	5	5	5	5
ThunderWolves ThunderWolves	16	16	16	16	16	16
Flacons Flacons	14	14	14	14	14	14
Panthers 1 Panthers 1	17	17	17	17	17	17
Panthers 2 Panthers 2	85	85	85	85	85	85
Panthers Panthers	7	7	7	7	7	7
Raiders 1 Raiders 1	12	12	12	12	12	12
Raiders 2 Raiders 2	62	62	62	62	62	62
Raiders 3 Raiders 3	84	84	84	84	84	84
JV JV	55	55	55	55	55	55
Raiders Raiders	88	88	88	88	88	88
Varsity Varsity	11	11	11	11	11	11
Seminole Seminole	6	6	6	6	6	6
Chargers Chargers	10	10	10	10	10	10
SF BULLDOGS SF BULLDOGS	50	50	50	50	50	50
Green Devils Green Devils	13	13	13	13	13	13
Knights Knights	9	9	9	9	9	9
Junior Varsity Junior Varsity	44	44	44	44	44	44
Varsity Varsity	8	8	8	8	8	8
Vero Beach 1 Vero Beach 1	4	4	4	4	4	4
Vero Beach 2 Vero Beach 2	65	65	65	65	65	65
JV JV	79	79	79	79	79	79

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SAISA South Points1 - Combined V/JV 2021

Division A

Division B

From the notes