PYC #1

HostEverest Collegiate/Seaholm
Date09/17/2022
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Holland Christian High School	Maroon	28	28
2	Troy High School	Troy	29	29
3	West Ottawa High School	Mixed	33	33
4	Holland Christian High School	Grey	39	39
5	Grosse Ile High School	Grosse Ile - Grey	49	49
6	Grosse Ile High School	GI Warlocks	59	59
7	Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Red	71	71
8	Grosse Ile High School	Grosse Ile - Scarlet	75	75
9	East Lansing High School	East Lansing HS	77	77
10	Black River Public School	Varsity	84	84
11	West Bloomfield High School	WB White	95	95
12	Birmingham Public Schools	MIXED Maples	102	102
13	Birmingham Public Schools	MIXED Maroon	103	103
14	Black River Public School	Mixed	104	104
15	Troy High School	Colts	112	112
16	Okemos High School	Okemos Puffins Mixed	127	127
17	Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRM Blue	131	131
18	Detroit Country Day School	Mixed Silver	135	135
19	Everest Collegiate High School & Academy	MIXED Gold	136	136
20	Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MIXED Maroon	148	148
21	Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Blue	153	153
22	Everest Collegiate High School & Academy	MIXED	155	155
23	Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Gold	162	162

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Holland Christian High School	Maroon	3	1	8	5	3	3	1	4	28	Greta Traver '23 Hanan Lomax '25
Troy High School	Troy	1	3	4	2	1	2	10	6	29	Rodrigo Flores '24 Sophia Worden '23
West Ottawa High School	Mixed	2	6	2	6	4	5	3	5	33	Matthew Tevelde '26 Olive Mcgough '27
Holland Christian High School	Grey	4	4	6	4	2	10	2	7	39	Amelia Traver '24 Sophia Pierce '23
Grosse Ile High School	Grosse Ile - Grey	7	8	3	1	8	11	9	2	49	Norton Coulibaly '23 [1-4, 7-8] Jacob Vasicek '23 [5-6] Jacob Vasicek '23 [1-4, 7-8] Norton Coulibaly '23 [5-6]
Grosse Ile High School	GI Warlocks	5	5	1	15	7	6	19	1	59	Anna Mcaughey '24 [1-8] Griffin Wilcox '25 [1-2, 6-8] Serafim Dionyssopoulos '23 [3-5]
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Red	6	9	11	22	5	1	5	12	71	Liam Gilin '25 Cameron Rocco '24
Grosse Ile High School	Grosse Ile - Scarlet	13	10	17	3	6	4	8	14	75	Sydney Porter '24 [1-4] Gillian Bellard '25 [5-8] Gillian Bellard '25 [1-4] Sydney Porter '24 [5-8]
East Lansing High School	East Lansing HS	11	2	7	19	11	7	11	9	77	Clayton Debruyn '26 [1-8] Joseph Spiller '26 [1-2, 5-6] Owen Kraus '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Black River Public School	Varsity	17	13	9	7	9	8	4	17	84	Kiarra Bracelly '25 Anneke Hackney '25
West Bloomfield High School	WB White	12	7	10	12	14	14	16	10	95	Ian Phipps '25 Brianna Briggs '25
Birmingham Public Schools	MIXED Maples	8	12	18	13	13	20	15	3	102	Jamie Stewart '27 Alex Wszolek '25
Birmingham Public Schools	MIXED Maroon	10	20	5	10	19	17	7	15	103	Marko Nedeljkovic '24 Evan Olejnik '24
Black River Public School	Mixed	22	11	15	14	16	9	6	11	104	Ella Sligh '24 [1-8] Jonas Pearson '25 [1-4] Ruby Muehlenz '25 [5-8]
Troy High School	Colts	9	19	13	9	10	12	18	22	112	Matthew Pecis '25 Teddy Mayotte '25
Okemos High School	Okemos Puffins Mixed	20	16	14	8	20	13	20	16	127	Blake Glazer '27 Maia Lodise '23
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRM Blue	19	22	16	18	15	19	14	8	131	Brian Totonchi '24 Andrew Melchior '26
Detroit Country Day School	Mixed Silver	18	21	12	16	22	15	13	18	135	Isha Ummadi '27 Hayden Schwartzenfeld '26
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy	MIXED Gold	16	15	21	11	12	21	17	23	136	Diego Kittinger '24 [1-8] Andre Olejnik '26 [1, 4-8] Alex Fox '27 [2-3]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MIXED Maroon	15	17	20	17	23	22	21	13	148	Quinn Elliott '26 Brennan Breakiron '28
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Blue	14	14	RDG	20	18	DNF	23	21	153	Isabella Elzon '27 Arda Sarioglu '27
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy	MIXED	23	23	19	21	21	16	12	20	155	Valentino Orsini '25 Luca Orsini '27
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Gold	21	18	23	DNS	17	18	22	19	162	Miles Kohn '25 Yuyang Duan '27

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.080+0.08

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maples	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon	19	19	19	19	19	19	19	19
Black River Public School Mixed	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Black River Public School Varsity	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Detroit Country Day School Mixed Silver	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
East Lansing High School East Lansing HS	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Gold	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Grosse Ile High School GI Warlocks	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Grey	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Holland Christian High School Grey	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Holland Christian High School Maroon	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED Maroon	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
Troy High School Colts	21	21	21	21	21	21	21	21
Troy High School Troy	20	20	20	20	20	20	20	20
West Bloomfield High School WB White	22	22	22	22	22	22	22	22
West Ottawa High School Mixed	23	23	23	23	23	23	23	23

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Birmingham Public Schools	MIXED Maples	Jamie Stewart '27	Alex Wszolek '25
Birmingham Public Schools	MIXED Maroon	Marko Nedeljkovic '24	Evan Olejnik '24
Black River Public School	Mixed	Ella Sligh '24 [1-8]	Jonas Pearson '25 [1-4] Ruby Muehlenz '25 [5-8]
Black River Public School	Varsity	Kiarra Bracelly '25	Anneke Hackney '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRM Blue	Brian Totonchi '24	Andrew Melchior '26
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Blue	Isabella Elzon '27	Arda Sarioglu '27
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Gold	Miles Kohn '25	Yuyang Duan '27
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Red	Liam Gilin '25	Cameron Rocco '24
Detroit Country Day School	Mixed Silver	Isha Ummadi '27	Hayden Schwartzenfeld '26
East Lansing High School	East Lansing HS	Clayton Debruyn '26 [1-8]	Joseph Spiller '26 [1-2, 5-6] Owen Kraus '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy	MIXED	Valentino Orsini '25	Luca Orsini '27
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy	MIXED Gold	Diego Kittinger '24 [1-8]	Andre Olejnik '26 [1, 4-8] Alex Fox '27 [2-3]
Grosse Ile High School	GI Warlocks	Anna Mcaughey '24 [1-8]	Griffin Wilcox '25 [1-2, 6-8] Serafim Dionyssopoulos '23 [3-5]
Grosse Ile High School	Grosse Ile - Grey	Norton Coulibaly '23 [1-4, 7-8] Jacob Vasicek '23 [5-6]	Jacob Vasicek '23 [1-4, 7-8] Norton Coulibaly '23 [5-6]
Grosse Ile High School	Grosse Ile - Scarlet	Sydney Porter '24 [1-4] Gillian Bellard '25 [5-8]	Gillian Bellard '25 [1-4] Sydney Porter '24 [5-8]
Holland Christian High School	Grey	Amelia Traver '24	Sophia Pierce '23
Holland Christian High School	Maroon	Greta Traver '23	Hanan Lomax '25
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MIXED Maroon	Quinn Elliott '26	Brennan Breakiron '28
Okemos High School	Okemos Puffins Mixed	Blake Glazer '27	Maia Lodise '23
Troy High School	Colts	Matthew Pecis '25	Teddy Mayotte '25
Troy High School	Troy	Rodrigo Flores '24	Sophia Worden '23
West Bloomfield High School	WB White	Ian Phipps '25	Brianna Briggs '25
West Ottawa High School	Mixed	Matthew Tevelde '26	Olive Mcgough '27

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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PYC #1

Division A

From the notes