2023-24 PCISA SoCal 3 Silver

HostMission Bay Yacht Club
Date12/10/2023
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#		School	Team	A	TOT
1		Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 1	29	29
2		Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays 1	39	39
3		St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 1	42	42
4		San Pedro High School	Pirates	67	67
5		Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 2	72	72
6		Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 3	77	77
7		St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 2	88	88
8		Bishop's School	Knights 1	91	91
9		Bishop's School	Knights 2	91	91
10		Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 2	92	92
11		Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 1	98	98
12		Bishop Montgomery High School	Bishop Montgomery	101	101
13		Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	105	105
14		El Segundo High School	El Segundo	106	106
15	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons 1	126	126
16		Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	129	129
17		Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays 2	132	132
18		St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 3	139	139
19		Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 3	166	166
20		Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	171	171
21	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons 2	171	171
22		JSerra Catholic High School	Lions	182	182
23		Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	182	182
24		Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	205	205

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 1	2	1	1	11	4	1	1	7	1	29	Palmer Mays '27 Griffin Mcdaniels '28
	Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays 1	1	7	3	2	3	7	4	3	9	39	Ezra Balderson '25 Jack Carson '25
	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 1	3	2	2	6	1	3	11	10	4	42	Jack Snow '25 Tanner Swagger '26
	San Pedro High School	Pirates	7	8	5	1	13	14	14	2	3	67	Iliana Hernandez '27 Niko Seiple '27
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 2	5	11	4	3	2	10	3	19	15	72	Ian Hamilton '26 Stella Rose Santo-Pietro '25
	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 3	17	9	18	10	10	8	2	1	2	77	Kayla Spalding '27 Alden Snyder '27
	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 2	4	6	7	16	15	11	10	13	6	88	Samuel Mohinani '24 Ben Garza '25
	Bishop's School	Knights 1	6	12	9	8	14	4	6	22	10	91	Maxfield Payne '25 [1-9] Sophie Brunner '26 [1-3] Maia Brunner '26 [4-9]
	Bishop's School	Knights 2	11	5	10	7	6	6	7	21	18	91	Cameron Rosso '27 [1-9] Rowan Harmon '27 [1-3] Sophie Brunner '26 [4-9]
	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 2	14	22	15	5	7	2	13	6	8	92	Parker Johnson '24 Truman Schroeder '28
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 1	16	14	14	9	11	9	5	4	16	98	Anna Huber '26 Maeve Mcgovern '26
	Bishop Montgomery High School	Bishop Montgomery	9	13	8	13	8	15	19	9	7	101	Robert Mccloskey '28 Westley Johnson '26
	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	10	18	6	15	20	5	12	5	14	105	William Mcdermott '26 [1-9] Lauren Grace Macvaugh-Howe '27 [1-2, 9] Faith Howe Macvaugh '27 [3-4] Brianna Evans '25 [5-8]
	El Segundo High School	El Segundo	13	10	12	4	17	12	8	11	19	106	Tate Vincent '27 Bella Engleman '28
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons 1	21	3	17	14	21	13	18	14	5	126	Eric Panebianco '28 Elijah Soussan '26
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	15	15	20	18	5	17	16	12	11	129	Julia Musial '26 Lada Nosar '26
	Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays 2	12	4	13	12	12	19	20	23	17	132	Benjamin Winn '25 Caleb Winn '26
	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 3	8	17	11	19	19	20	9	15	21	139	Michael Beaird '25 Roan Gutierrez '25
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 3	20	21	19	23	9	16	22	16	20	166	Ian Steinberger '26 Mia Bohlin '24
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	19	16	16	20	22	21	17	17	23	171	Leland Howard '26 George Faragallah '27
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons 2	22	19	22	22	18	22	15	18	13	171	Matthew Camper '28 Aabid Fitzgerald '26
	JSerra Catholic High School	Lions	18	23	21	17	24	DSQ	24	8	22	182	Kaden Brown '26 Colin Obyrne '27
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	24	24	23	24	16	18	21	20	12	182	Henry Tanghe '26 Spencer Matorin '27
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	23	20	24	21	23	23	23	24	24	205	Natalie Jalaie '25 Brianna Evans '25

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A
	Bishop Montgomery High School Bishop Montgomery	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	87
	Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	78	78	78	78	78	78	78	78	78
	Coastal Academy High School Stingrays 1	76	76	76	76	76	76	76	76	76
	Coastal Academy High School Stingrays 2	75	75	75	75	75	75	75	75	75
	El Segundo High School El Segundo	48	48	48	48	48	48	48	48	48
	JSerra Catholic High School Lions	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43
	Mira Costa High School Mustangs 1	98	98	98	98	98	98	98	98	98
	Mira Costa High School Mustangs 2	96	96	96	96	96	96	96	96	96
	Mira Costa High School Mustangs 3	97	97	97	97	97	97	97	97	97
	Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1	77	77	77	77	77	77	77	77	77
	Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2	89	89	89	89	89	89	89	89	89
	Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 3	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	88
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	86	86	86	86	86	86	86	86	86
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83
	San Pedro High School Pirates	74	74	74	74	74	74	74	74	74
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons 1	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons 2	199	199	199	199	199	199	199	199	199
	St. John Bosco High School St. John Bosco 1	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80
	St. John Bosco High School St. John Bosco 2	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30
	St. John Bosco High School St. John Bosco 3	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90
	Bishop's School Knights 1	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99
	Bishop's School Knights 2	55	55	55	55	55	55	55	55	55
	Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1	85	85	85	85	85	85	85	85	85
	Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2	84	84	84	84	84	84	84	84	84

	School	Team	Skipper	Crew
	Bishop Montgomery High School	Bishop Montgomery	Robert Mccloskey '28	Westley Johnson '26
	Bishop's School	Knights 1	Maxfield Payne '25 [1-9]	Sophie Brunner '26 [1-3] Maia Brunner '26 [4-9]
	Bishop's School	Knights 2	Cameron Rosso '27 [1-9]	Rowan Harmon '27 [1-3] Sophie Brunner '26 [4-9]
	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	William Mcdermott '26 [1-9]	Lauren Grace Macvaugh-Howe '27 [1-2, 9] Faith Howe Macvaugh '27 [3-4] Brianna Evans '25 [5-8]
	Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays 1	Ezra Balderson '25	Jack Carson '25
	Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays 2	Benjamin Winn '25	Caleb Winn '26
	El Segundo High School	El Segundo	Tate Vincent '27	Bella Engleman '28
	JSerra Catholic High School	Lions	Kaden Brown '26	Colin Obyrne '27
	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 1	Palmer Mays '27	Griffin Mcdaniels '28
	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 2	Parker Johnson '24	Truman Schroeder '28
	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 3	Kayla Spalding '27	Alden Snyder '27
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 1	Anna Huber '26	Maeve Mcgovern '26
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 2	Ian Hamilton '26	Stella Rose Santo-Pietro '25
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 3	Ian Steinberger '26	Mia Bohlin '24
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	Leland Howard '26	George Faragallah '27
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	Julia Musial '26	Lada Nosar '26
	San Pedro High School	Pirates	Iliana Hernandez '27	Niko Seiple '27
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons 1	Eric Panebianco '28	Elijah Soussan '26
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons 2	Matthew Camper '28	Aabid Fitzgerald '26
	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 1	Jack Snow '25	Tanner Swagger '26
	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 2	Samuel Mohinani '24	Ben Garza '25
	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 3	Michael Beaird '25	Roan Gutierrez '25
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	Natalie Jalaie '25	Brianna Evans '25
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	Henry Tanghe '26	Spencer Matorin '27

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2023-24 PCISA SoCal 3 Silver

Division A

From the notes