Nor Cal 2 Silver Fleet

HostRichmond Yacht Club
Date09/24/2023
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Redwood	Giants	18	18
2	Stevenson School	Pirates 3	21	21
3	Carlmont High School	The Scots	33	33
4	Stevenson School	Pirates 1	39	39
5	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	41	41
6	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	47	47
7	Alameda High School	Hornets 2	54	54
8	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	55	55
9	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	55	55
10	Miramonte High School	Matadors	57	57
11	Marin Academy	Wildcats	59	59
12	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	68	68
13	Palo Alto High	Vikings	69	69
14	Stevenson School	Pirates 2	80	80
15	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	84	84
16	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	85	85
17	Design Tech High School	d.tech 4	86	86
18	Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	87	87
19	The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars 1	88	88
20	Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	96	96
21	San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	105	105
22	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	105	105
23	San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	107	107
24	Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	108	108
25	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	120	120
26	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 2	123	123
27	The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars 2	123	123
28	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 4	130	130
29	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 3	133	133
30	Piedmont High School	Varsity	141	141
31	Encinal High School	Jets	143	143
32	Albany High School (CA)	Varsity	147	147
33	Alameda High School	Hornets 1	152	152
34	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 1	155	155
35	Marin Catholic	Wildcats	159	159
36	San Domenico High School	Panthers 3	160	160

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Redwood	Giants	9	6	1	1	1	18	Whitney Feagin '27 [1-2] Henry Vare '26 [3-5] Henry Vare '26 [1-2] Whitney Feagin '27 [3-5]
Stevenson School	Pirates 3	3	3	9	2	4	21	Patrick O'Hara '27 Dillan Spence '27
Carlmont High School	The Scots	21	4	3	3	2	33	Ward Brouwer '24 Karsten Brouwer '27
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	2	1	7	5	24	39	Tibet Kilic '24 Tyler Hwang '26
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	7	2	18	9	5	41	Jack Wicker '27 Sebastian Gebler '27
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	10	7	13	10	7	47	Luke Probst '26 Melina Ahrens '27
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	4	14	4	19	13	54	Tristan Banthi '28 Noah Stone '28
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	1	5	20	14	15	55	Skye Crawford '25 Donovan Techel '25
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	17	8	12	15	3	55	Stefan Luedtke '24 [1-5] Olivia Feng '27 [1, 3, 5] Sofia Risso '26 [2, 4]
Miramonte High School	Matadors	12	10	6	7	22	57	Giulia Delling '26 Zahra Alexander '24
Marin Academy	Wildcats	6	20	16	11	6	59	Colin Holzwarth '25 William Larson '25
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	8	9	10	4	DNF	68	Bea Littler '27 Taylor Murdock '27
Palo Alto High	Vikings	13	12	2	21	21	69	Cal Currier '24 Mira Stettner '27
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	14	29	11	17	9	80	Aaron Eagle '27 Claire Lee '26
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	23	22	8	13	18	84	William Jorjarth '27 Sebastian Lin '26
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	20	16	21	20	8	85	Gus Gossett '27 [1-5] Jt Scott '28 [1, 3, 5] Coral Buono '24 [2, 4]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 4	24	15	24	6	17	86	Grant Sloan '25 Lorelai Hartman '25
Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	11	18	15	16	27	87	Jaiden Jacobs '24 Mark Novak '28
The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars 1	16	17	5	36	14	88	Charlie Fine '25 Flora Ebringer '27
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	26	25	27	8	10	96	Will Kizer '25 John Nix '25
San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	15	13	17	23	DNF	105	Dylan Song '25 Zach Mar-Elia '27
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	28	21	19	18	19	105
San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	5	19	23	31	29	107	Praire Press '26 Xander Helming '26
Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	18	11	28	26	25	108	Nolan Balocki '27 Kaia Burris '27
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	29	35	14	12	30	120	Alex Shum '27 Dimitri Dimitrov '27
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 2	19	26	33	22	23	123	Alistair Spencer Mork '25 Shiva Stickland '25
The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars 2	30	27	22	28	16	123	Lusia Foster '26 [1, 4] Theo Li '25 [2-3, 5] Katharine Mackenzie '24 [1, 4]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 4	33	30	29	27	11	130	Reid Imwalle '26 Ronan Corbit '27
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 3	27	34	31	29	12	133	Genevieve Cantin '25 Gabe Heller '27
Piedmont High School	Varsity	32	33	26	24	26	141	Micaela Jorcino '24 Peter Stokes '24
Encinal High School	Jets	31	31	36	25	20	143	Elie Woodward '27 Oscar Abrons '27
Albany High School (CA)	Varsity	36	23	25	30	33	147	Luke Tangherlini '24 Jasper Ervice '30
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	22	32	32	32	34	152	Logan Schwimmer '26 Charles Maxey '25
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 1	35	24	30	34	32	155	Lila Rodet '27 [1-2, 5] Abbigal Starkey '25 [3-4] Lillian Johansson '26 [1-2, 5] Cato Escamilla Geisler '23 [3-4]
Marin Catholic	Wildcats	25	36	35	35	28	159	Zoe Bruce '26 Victoria Krauss '27
San Domenico High School	Panthers 3	34	28	34	33	31	160	Seamus Crain '26 Willem Morrow '27

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.130+0.13

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Alameda High School Hornets 1	54	54	54	54	54
Alameda High School Hornets 2	45	45	45	45	45
Albany High School (CA) Varsity	61	61	61	61	61
Archbishop Riordan Riordan	10	10	10	10	10
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 1	59	59	59	59	59
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 2	63	63	63	63	63
Carlmont High School The Scots	23	23	23	23	23
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	8	8	8	8	8
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins	25	25	25	25	25
Design Tech High School d.tech 1	28	28	28	28	28
Design Tech High School d.tech 2	27	27	27	27	27
Design Tech High School d.tech 3	26	26	26	26	26
Design Tech High School d.tech 4	24	24	24	24	24
Encinal High School Jets	49	49	49	49	49
Henry M. Gunn High School Titans	29	29	29	29	29
The International School of San Francisco Jaguars 1	7	7	7	7	7
The International School of San Francisco Jaguars 2	141	141	141	141	141
Marin Academy Wildcats	60	60	60	60	60
Marin Catholic Wildcats	139	139	139	139	139
Miramonte High School Matadors	48	48	48	48	48
Palo Alto High Vikings	30	30	30	30	30
Piedmont High School Varsity	42	42	42	42	42
Redwood Giants	124	124	124	124	124
San Domenico High School Panthers 1	17	17	17	17	17
San Domenico High School Panthers 2	16	16	16	16	16
San Domenico High School Panthers 3	15	15	15	15	15
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats	4	4	4	4	4
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame	51	51	51	51	51
Stevenson School Pirates 1	97	97	97	97	97
Stevenson School Pirates 2	98	98	98	98	98
Stevenson School Pirates 3	99	99	99	99	99
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	79	79	79	79	79
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	77	77	77	77	77
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 3	140	140	140	140	140
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 4	133	133	133	133	133
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	83	83	83	83	83

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	Logan Schwimmer '26	Charles Maxey '25
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	Tristan Banthi '28	Noah Stone '28
Albany High School (CA)	Varsity	Luke Tangherlini '24	Jasper Ervice '30
Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	Nolan Balocki '27	Kaia Burris '27
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 1	Lila Rodet '27 [1-2, 5] Abbigal Starkey '25 [3-4]	Lillian Johansson '26 [1-2, 5] Cato Escamilla Geisler '23 [3-4]
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 2	Alistair Spencer Mork '25	Shiva Stickland '25
Carlmont High School	The Scots	Ward Brouwer '24	Karsten Brouwer '27
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	Jack Wicker '27	Sebastian Gebler '27
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	Stefan Luedtke '24 [1-5]	Olivia Feng '27 [1, 3, 5] Sofia Risso '26 [2, 4]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	William Jorjarth '27	Sebastian Lin '26
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	Skye Crawford '25	Donovan Techel '25
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	Will Kizer '25	John Nix '25
Design Tech High School	d.tech 4	Grant Sloan '25	Lorelai Hartman '25
Encinal High School	Jets	Elie Woodward '27	Oscar Abrons '27
Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	Jaiden Jacobs '24	Mark Novak '28
Marin Academy	Wildcats	Colin Holzwarth '25	William Larson '25
Marin Catholic	Wildcats	Zoe Bruce '26	Victoria Krauss '27
Miramonte High School	Matadors	Giulia Delling '26	Zahra Alexander '24
Palo Alto High	Vikings	Cal Currier '24	Mira Stettner '27
Piedmont High School	Varsity	Micaela Jorcino '24	Peter Stokes '24
Redwood	Giants	Whitney Feagin '27 [1-2] Henry Vare '26 [3-5]	Henry Vare '26 [1-2] Whitney Feagin '27 [3-5]
San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	Dylan Song '25	Zach Mar-Elia '27
San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	Praire Press '26	Xander Helming '26
San Domenico High School	Panthers 3	Seamus Crain '26	Willem Morrow '27
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	Alex Shum '27	Dimitri Dimitrov '27
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	Luke Probst '26	Melina Ahrens '27
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	Tibet Kilic '24	Tyler Hwang '26
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	Aaron Eagle '27	Claire Lee '26
Stevenson School	Pirates 3	Patrick O'Hara '27	Dillan Spence '27
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Bea Littler '27	Taylor Murdock '27
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 3	Genevieve Cantin '25	Gabe Heller '27
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 4	Reid Imwalle '26	Ronan Corbit '27
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	Gus Gossett '27 [1-5]	Jt Scott '28 [1, 3, 5] Coral Buono '24 [2, 4]
The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars 1	Charlie Fine '25	Flora Ebringer '27
The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars 2	Lusia Foster '26 [1, 4] Theo Li '25 [2-3, 5]	Katharine Mackenzie '24 [1, 4]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Nor Cal 2 Silver Fleet

Division A

From the notes