SAISA South Points 1 2023-24 JV

HostHistoric Virginia Key Beach Park
Date09/30/2023
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Raiders	Raiders	16	13	29
2	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions 1	29	9	38
3	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions 2	22	20	42
4	Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	16	35	51
5	St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	19	32	51
6	South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	39	25	64
7	H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	33	36	69
8	Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	44	47	91

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	1	4	3	2	1	5	16	Alexandra Kolaya '27 Meredith Mckenna '25
Raiders	Raiders	2	1	4	1	6	2	16
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	5	3	2	4	2	3	19	Reid Mendelblatt '26 [1-6] Jad Abedrabbo '26 [1-3] Ava Shakespeare '25 [4-6]
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions 2	3	2	1	5	7	4	22	Isabella Henrich '26 Alejandro Escudero '27
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions 1	6	5	DNF	3	5	1	29	Beck Brill '27 Marco Andres '25
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	4	6	6	7	4	6	33	Jarah Maynor '24 [1-2, 5-6] Jessica Martello '27 [3-4] Shea Mcgraw '27 [1-2, 5-6] William Phipps '27 [3-4]
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	DNS	7	5	8	3	7	39	Belle Falero '25 Jonathan Bratt '26
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	7	8	7	6	8	8	44	Delaney Romeyk '26 Kai Wolter '24

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions 1	2	1	1	2	2	1	9	David Mateo Coates '27 Lucia Martinez Moore '25
Raiders	Raiders	1	4	4	1	1	2	13
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions 2	3	2	6	3	3	3	20	Marina Wardlaw '27 Leonardo Tarzani '27
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	5	5	2	4	4	5	25	Savannah Kautz '26 Ruby Suereth '24
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	6	7	3	5	5	6	32	Jad Abedrabbo '26 Hannah Mccaffree '26
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	8	3	5	6	6	7	35	Carola Zapata '26 [1-6] Gabriela Hernandez '24 [1-2] Martina Santos '26 [3-4] Eva Castaneda '26 [5-6]
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	4	6	7	8	7	4	36	Violet Jonas '27 [1-6] Matteo Palmeri '27 [1-2] Alexander Scarberry '28 [3-4] William Phipps '27 [5-6]
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	7	8	8	7	OCS	8	47	Ellie Freeman '26 Ellie Lovatt '28

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.050+0.05

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	66	66	66	66	66	66
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1	88	88	88	88	88	88
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 2	33	33	33	33	33	33
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	44	44	44	44	44	44
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	77	77	77	77	77	77
Raiders Raiders	55	55	55	55	55	55
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	47	47	47	47	47	47
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	53	53	53	53	53	53

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	66	66	66	66	66	66
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1	88	88	88	88	88	88
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 2	33	33	33	33	33	33
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	44	44	44	44	44	44
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	77	77	77	77	77	77
Raiders Raiders	55	55	55	55	55	55
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	47	47	47	47	47	47
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	53	53	53	53	53	53

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Alexandra Kolaya '27	Meredith Mckenna '25
Carrollton School	Carola Zapata '26 [1-6]	Gabriela Hernandez '24 [1-2] Martina Santos '26 [3-4] Eva Castaneda '26 [5-6]
H. B. Plant High School	Jarah Maynor '24 [1-2, 5-6] Jessica Martello '27 [3-4]	Shea Mcgraw '27 [1-2, 5-6] William Phipps '27 [3-4]
Panthers	Violet Jonas '27 [1-6]	Matteo Palmeri '27 [1-2] Alexander Scarberry '28 [3-4] William Phipps '27 [5-6]
Immaculata La Salle High School	Beck Brill '27	Marco Andres '25
Royal Lions 1	David Mateo Coates '27	Lucia Martinez Moore '25
Immaculata La Salle High School	Isabella Henrich '26	Alejandro Escudero '27
Royal Lions 2	Marina Wardlaw '27	Leonardo Tarzani '27
Jensen Beach High School	Delaney Romeyk '26	Kai Wolter '24
Falcons	Ellie Freeman '26	Ellie Lovatt '28
South Fork High School	Belle Falero '25	Jonathan Bratt '26
SF BULLDOGS	Savannah Kautz '26	Ruby Suereth '24
St. Petersburg High School	Reid Mendelblatt '26 [1-6]	Jad Abedrabbo '26 [1-3] Ava Shakespeare '25 [4-6]
Green Devils	Jad Abedrabbo '26	Hannah Mccaffree '26

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SAISA South Points 1 2023-24 JV

Division A

Division B

From the notes