2023 Texas Fall State Championship

HostLake Travis/West Lake (TX)
Date11/11/2023
TypeState Championship
BoatE420
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Lake Travis High School	Cavaliers Blue	19	19
2	Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA - White	58	58
3	Clear Lake High School	Falcons 1	68	68
4	Lake Travis High School	Cavaliers Red	70	70
5	West Lake High School (TX)	Chaparrals	88	88
6	Clear Lake High School	Falcons 2	91	91
7	Clear Falls High School	Knights 2	107	107
8	Clear Falls High School	Knights 1	125	125
9	Lake Travis High School	Cavaliers Black	144	144
10	Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA - Blue	168	168
11	Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA - Black	177	177
12	Clear Falls High School	Knights 3	177	177
13	Clear Lake High School	Falcons 4	191	191
14	Clear Lake High School	Falcons 3	200	200
15	Nolan Catholic High School	Vikings 2	219	219
16	Nolan Catholic High School	Vikings Blue	231	231
17	Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA	248	248
18	Nolan Catholic High School	Vikings White	249	249
19	Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA-Austin	267	267
20	Nolan Catholic High School	Vikings 1	293	293

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	R15	R16	R17	R18	TOT	Sailors
Lake Travis High School	Cavaliers Blue	BYE	BYE	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE	19	James Brock '24 Lilly Wind '25
Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA - White	BYE	BYE	4	5	BYE	BYE	5	2	4	3	2	5	5	4	1	4	1	1	58	Roni Sela '26 Sofia Pando '25
Clear Lake High School	Falcons 1	2	4	1	7	2	2	8	5	2	2	BYE	BYE	7	6	5	2	3	2	68	Jack Cronan '25 Cole Gourley '25
Lake Travis High School	Cavaliers Red	BYE	BYE	6	3	3	3	3	4	3	4	3	7	2	3	7	3	BYE	BYE	70	Wyatt Tauber '24 Laura Covington '24
West Lake High School (TX)	Chaparrals	6	1	10	8	6	4	7	7	9	5	5	3	3	2	4	1	2	5	88	Garrett Eadie '25 [1-10] Emery Sularz '25 [11-18] Emery Sularz '25 [1-10] Garrett Eadie '25 [11-18]
Clear Lake High School	Falcons 2	5	2	7	4	4	6	2	6	BYE	BYE	9	2	4	5	6	9	7	3	91	Zachary Brown '26 Gabrielle Golemi '26
Clear Falls High School	Knights 2	4	3	3	2	5	8	9	3	10	7	4	9	6	7	BYE	BYE	5	10	107	Polsen Blake '25 Neona Gleason '26
Clear Falls High School	Knights 1	1	6	5	9	8	5	4	8	7	6	6	6	10	11	12	7	BYE	BYE	125	Kale Bendele '27 Ben Vickers '24
Lake Travis High School	Cavaliers Black	3	8	BYE	BYE	7	7	10	11	5	12	14	8	11	8	2	10	6	6	144	Ryder Getson '25 Luka Vukmerica '25
Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA - Blue	11	11	BYE	BYE	10	9	BYE	BYE	6	8	12	12	13	10	3	5	11	11	168	Abraham Gamble '26 Alfred Aidmard '26
Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA - Black	9	9	8	10	BYE	BYE	6	9	BYE	BYE	8	13	8	12	10	14	9	12	177	Sasha Scoggin '27 Quinn Ross '26
Clear Falls High School	Knights 3	12	10	9	12	9	12	11	13	11	DNF	7	4	BYE	BYE	9	6	4	7	177	Benitz Brayden '26 Kellen West '23
Clear Lake High School	Falcons 4	10	5	14	6	BYE	BYE	13	10	8	11	15	10	9	9	13	8	15	13	191	Karaline Cronan '28 Julia Carlsen '25
Clear Lake High School	Falcons 3	7	7	12	14	11	13	BYE	BYE	14	10	13	11	12	13	14	13	10	4	200	Andrew Hibbetts '25 James Gonzalez '26
Nolan Catholic High School	Vikings 2	13	12	11	16	15	14	15	15	BYE	BYE	10	14	BYE	BYE	8	12	8	8	219	Alex Van Zanten '28 Max Boettcher '25
Nolan Catholic High School	Vikings Blue	14	14	13	13	13	11	14	14	12	13	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE	11	11	BYE	BYE	231	Christian Lopez '26 Lilly Moody '26
Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA	16	13	BYE	BYE	12	10	12	12	16	14	11	15	15	14	16	16	13	15	248	Michael Sowul '27 Natalie White '27
Nolan Catholic High School	Vikings White	8	15	15	15	17	15	16	16	15	9	BYE	BYE	14	15	BYE	BYE	14	9	249	Gentry Schneider '25 Penelope Potter '29
Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA-Austin	17	17	16	11	14	16	BYE	BYE	13	15	BYE	BYE	16	16	15	15	12	14	267	Julian Valis '26 Adam Valis '28
Nolan Catholic High School	Vikings 1	15	16	17	17	16	17	17	17	17	16	16	16	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE	16	16	293	Mickey Valenti '25 Samuel Mcdougall '25

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A	13A	14A	15A	16A	17A	18A
Clear Falls High School Knights 1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	19	19
Clear Falls High School Knights 2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	19	19	10	10
Clear Falls High School Knights 3	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	19	19	10	10	11	11
Clear Lake High School Falcons 1	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	19	19	10	10	11	11	12	12
Clear Lake High School Falcons 2	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	19	19	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13
Clear Lake High School Falcons 3	6	6	7	7	8	8	19	19	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14
Clear Lake High School Falcons 4	7	7	8	8	19	19	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15
Lake Travis High School Cavaliers Black	8	8	19	19	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15	16	16
Lake Travis High School Cavaliers Blue	20	20	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15	16	16	17	17	18	18
Lake Travis High School Cavaliers Red	19	19	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15	16	16	17	17
Nolan Catholic High School Vikings 1	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15	16	16	17	17	18	18	9	9
Nolan Catholic High School Vikings 2	14	14	15	15	16	16	17	17	18	18	9	9	20	20	1	1	2	2
Nolan Catholic High School Vikings Blue	12	12	13	13	14	14	15	15	16	16	17	17	18	18	9	9	20	20
Nolan Catholic High School Vikings White	13	13	14	14	15	15	16	16	17	17	18	18	9	9	20	20	1	1
Unregistered-SEISA SEISA	9	9	20	20	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7
Unregistered-SEISA SEISA - Black	16	16	17	17	18	18	9	9	20	20	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4
Unregistered-SEISA SEISA - Blue	17	17	18	18	9	9	20	20	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5
Unregistered-SEISA SEISA - White	18	18	9	9	20	20	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6
Unregistered-SEISA SEISA-Austin	15	15	16	16	17	17	18	18	9	9	20	20	1	1	2	2	3	3
West Lake High School (TX) Chaparrals	10	10	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Clear Falls High School	Knights 1	Kale Bendele '27	Ben Vickers '24
Clear Falls High School	Knights 2	Polsen Blake '25	Neona Gleason '26
Clear Falls High School	Knights 3	Benitz Brayden '26	Kellen West '23
Clear Lake High School	Falcons 1	Jack Cronan '25	Cole Gourley '25
Clear Lake High School	Falcons 2	Zachary Brown '26	Gabrielle Golemi '26
Clear Lake High School	Falcons 3	Andrew Hibbetts '25	James Gonzalez '26
Clear Lake High School	Falcons 4	Karaline Cronan '28	Julia Carlsen '25
Lake Travis High School	Cavaliers Black	Ryder Getson '25	Luka Vukmerica '25
Lake Travis High School	Cavaliers Blue	James Brock '24	Lilly Wind '25
Lake Travis High School	Cavaliers Red	Wyatt Tauber '24	Laura Covington '24
Nolan Catholic High School	Vikings 1	Mickey Valenti '25	Samuel Mcdougall '25
Nolan Catholic High School	Vikings 2	Alex Van Zanten '28	Max Boettcher '25
Nolan Catholic High School	Vikings Blue	Christian Lopez '26	Lilly Moody '26
Nolan Catholic High School	Vikings White	Gentry Schneider '25	Penelope Potter '29
Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA	Michael Sowul '27	Natalie White '27
Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA - Black	Sasha Scoggin '27	Quinn Ross '26
Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA - Blue	Abraham Gamble '26	Alfred Aidmard '26
Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA - White	Roni Sela '26	Sofia Pando '25
Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA-Austin	Julian Valis '26	Adam Valis '28
West Lake High School (TX)	Chaparrals	Garrett Eadie '25 [1-10] Emery Sularz '25 [11-18]	Emery Sularz '25 [1-10] Garrett Eadie '25 [11-18]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2023 Texas Fall State Championship

Division A

From the notes