SAISA NP3 (JV/Composite)

HostJohn T. Hoggard/New Hanover
Date11/15/2025
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Chapin High School	JV-Composite	22	68	90
2	Waccamaw High School	Waccamaw Warriors	45	47	92
3	James Island Charter High School	Varsity	39	62	101
4	Aquinas High School	Fighting Irish	80	25	105
5	Raleigh Charter High School	JV	44	67	111
6	Green Hope High School	JV	39	72	111
7	Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	66	55	121
8	New Hanover High School	Wildcats	75	58	133
9	John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity 1	56	87	143
10	Hough High School	Huskies	76	67	143
11	Durham Academy	Durham Academy	109	38	147
12	Composite Red	Composite Red	64	99	163
13	John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity 2	109	76	185
14	Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	122	132	254

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
Chapin High School	JV-Composite	5	3	4	1	1	2	2	2	2	22	Mathew Hassinger '29 Steven Demarino '27
James Island Charter High School	Varsity	3	1	2	3	8	4	6	5	7	39	Max Rieger '28 [1-9] Sunny Mirise '28 [1-3, 7-9] Manning Lee '29 [4-6]
Green Hope High School	JV	7	4	5	2	DSQ	1	1	3	1	39	Maxim Gerasimov '28 Jordan Cooley '28
Raleigh Charter High School	JV	2	2	1	5	9	7	9	6	3	44	Victoria Pare '27 Anna Mcilvaine '28
Waccamaw High School	Waccamaw Warriors	1	9	3	6	3	6	11	1	5	45	Dominic Yanez '26 [1-9] Caroline Keyes '27 [1-6] Avi Golden '29 [7-9]
John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity 1	4	11	9	10	2	5	4	7	4	56	Jonah Ridout '28 Holden Longley '30
Composite Red	Composite Red	12	7	6	8	4	9	8	4	6	64
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	9	8	12	4	7	3	7	8	8	66	Whit Parnell '28 Kendall Grimsley '29
New Hanover High School	Wildcats	6	6	10	11	6	8	10	9	9	75	Johnathan Duncan '29 Kingston Olds '27
Hough High School	Huskies	8	10	7	12	5	10	3	10	11	76	Indiana Olson '28 Brinley Deatley '28
Aquinas High School	Fighting Irish	10	5	8	7	11	11	5	13	10	80	Oliver Putnam '28 Grant Dietert '28
John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity 2	11	13	11	9	12	12	14	14	13	109	Turner Shelton '27 Lawson Kievit '27
Durham Academy	Durham Academy	13	12	13	13	10	13	12	11	12	109	Colin Jee '26 Josh Vanmatre '30
Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	14	14	14	14	13	14	13	12	14	122	No Show [1-6] Ally Niekro '28 [7-9] Eve Martin '29 [1-6]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
Aquinas High School	Fighting Irish	3	3	3	9	1	1	1	3	1	25	Jackson Mcmullen '28 Millie Smalley '29
Durham Academy	Durham Academy	2	1	11	1	4	2	7	4	6	38	Graham Robbins '28 Jackson Del Gaizo '29
Waccamaw High School	Waccamaw Warriors	11	4	5	3	2	5	3	1	13	47	Liam Crosby '28 [1-9] Buck Cole '30 [1-6] Ainsley Coffey '29 [7-9]
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	1	2	1	11	9	8	8	7	8	55	Lillie Sabine '28 [1-9] Yancey Dunn '29 [1-3] Savannah Bryan '28 [4-9]
New Hanover High School	Wildcats	6	7	6	8	5	4	5	10	7	58	Lucian Lerose '27 Tristen Gross '28
James Island Charter High School	Varsity	8	DNF	9	6	6	10	2	2	4	62	Gabriel Fisher '29 [1-9] Avery Bunting '28 [1-3, 7-9] Lance Rieger '28 [4-6]
Hough High School	Huskies	7	11	10	5	7	6	4	5	12	67	Nash Beshears '27 Daria Koneva '28
Raleigh Charter High School	JV	13	8	4	2	3	7	6	13	11	67	Aaron Vanmatre '27 Alexa Whitworth '28
Chapin High School	JV-Composite	4	6	2	12	10	12	13	6	3	68	Mateo Lamotta '29 Liliana Hahn '29
Green Hope High School	JV	5	12	7	4	11	3	9	11	10	72	Chengxiu Ji '28 Dani Mendoza '28
John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity 2	10	5	12	7	8	11	10	8	5	76	No Show Savannah Higgins '26
John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity 1	12	9	13	10	12	9	11	9	2	87	Colbie Rogers '28 Davis Beatty '27
Composite Red	Composite Red	9	10	8	13	13	13	12	12	9	99
Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	14	14	14	132	No Show [1-6] Ally Niekro '28 [7-9] Eve Martin '29 [1-6]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.080+0.08

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A
Academic Magnet High School Raptors A	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Aquinas High School Fighting Irish	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Chapin High School JV-Composite	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Composite Red Composite Red	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Durham Academy Durham Academy	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Green Hope High School JV	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Hough High School Huskies	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
James Island Charter High School Varsity	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 1	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 2	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
New Hanover High School Wildcats	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Pine Lake Prep Varsity	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Raleigh Charter High School JV	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B
Academic Magnet High School Raptors A	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Aquinas High School Fighting Irish	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Chapin High School JV-Composite	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Composite Red Composite Red	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Durham Academy Durham Academy	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Green Hope High School JV	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Hough High School Huskies	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
James Island Charter High School Varsity	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 1	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 2	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
New Hanover High School Wildcats	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Pine Lake Prep Varsity	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Raleigh Charter High School JV	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Academic Magnet High School	Whit Parnell '28	Kendall Grimsley '29
Raptors A	Lillie Sabine '28 [1-9]	Yancey Dunn '29 [1-3] Savannah Bryan '28 [4-9]
Aquinas High School	Oliver Putnam '28	Grant Dietert '28
Fighting Irish	Jackson Mcmullen '28	Millie Smalley '29
Chapin High School	Mathew Hassinger '29	Steven Demarino '27
JV-Composite	Mateo Lamotta '29	Liliana Hahn '29
Durham Academy	Colin Jee '26	Josh Vanmatre '30
Durham Academy	Graham Robbins '28	Jackson Del Gaizo '29
Green Hope High School	Maxim Gerasimov '28	Jordan Cooley '28
JV	Chengxiu Ji '28	Dani Mendoza '28
Hough High School	Indiana Olson '28	Brinley Deatley '28
Huskies	Nash Beshears '27	Daria Koneva '28
James Island Charter High School	Max Rieger '28 [1-9]	Sunny Mirise '28 [1-3, 7-9] Manning Lee '29 [4-6]
Varsity	Gabriel Fisher '29 [1-9]	Avery Bunting '28 [1-3, 7-9] Lance Rieger '28 [4-6]
John T. Hoggard High School	Jonah Ridout '28	Holden Longley '30
Vikings Varsity 1	Colbie Rogers '28	Davis Beatty '27
John T. Hoggard High School	Turner Shelton '27	Lawson Kievit '27
Vikings Varsity 2	No Show	Savannah Higgins '26
New Hanover High School	Johnathan Duncan '29	Kingston Olds '27
Wildcats	Lucian Lerose '27	Tristen Gross '28
Pine Lake Prep	No Show [1-6] Ally Niekro '28 [7-9]	Eve Martin '29 [1-6]
Varsity	No Show [1-6] Ally Niekro '28 [7-9]	Eve Martin '29 [1-6]
Raleigh Charter High School	Victoria Pare '27	Anna Mcilvaine '28
JV	Aaron Vanmatre '27	Alexa Whitworth '28
Waccamaw High School	Dominic Yanez '26 [1-9]	Caroline Keyes '27 [1-6] Avi Golden '29 [7-9]
Waccamaw Warriors	Liam Crosby '28 [1-9]	Buck Cole '30 [1-6] Ainsley Coffey '29 [7-9]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SAISA NP3 (JV/Composite)

Division A

Division B

From the notes