Beaufort - North Points #5

HostBeaufort Yacht and Sailing Club
Date02/27/2016
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	18	12	30
2	Beaufort High School	Varsity	21	10	31
3	Lake Norman High School	Wildcats	25	18	43
4	James Island Charter High School	Varsity	34	19	53
5	Academic Magnet High School	Raptors	37	19	56
6	Savannah Country Day School	Hornets	16	43	59
7	Glynn Academy	Varsity	36	27	63
8	Richmond Hill High School	Varsity	24	39	63
9	Wando High School	Wando Warriors	28	43	71
10	Ashley Hall	Panthers	38	34	72
11	Durham School of The Arts	Varsity	43	35	78
12	SOA Charleston School of the Arts	SOA Varsity	33	50	83
13	Beaufort Academy	Varsity	43	41	84
14	Benedictine Military School	Varsity	42	56	98
15	Cape Fear Academy	CFA Varsity	49	53	102
16	Pamlico County High School	Hurricanes	58	47	105

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
Savannah Country Day School	Hornets	4	4	3	5	16	Collin Porter '19 Cecilia Belzer '18
Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	2	13	2	1	18	Kyle Mergenthaler '16 Mackie Conner '16
Beaufort High School	Varsity	7	5	6	3	21	Alex Mazzeo '18 [1-4] Austin (A.J.) Myers '18 [1-2] Sarah Suber '18 [3] Chris Hoogenboom '18 [4]
Richmond Hill High School	Varsity	5	2	15	2	24	Valerio Petris '16 Elizabeth Tompkins '17
Lake Norman High School	Wildcats	12	3	1	9	25	Matthew Chenard '17 [1-4] Paul ("Trinity") Barger '17 [1-2] William Bowden '16 [3-4]
Wando High School	Wando Warriors	3	11	BKD	7	28	Austin Ando '17 Heyward Main '19
SOA Charleston School of the Arts	SOA Varsity	6	7	7	13	33	Sarah Deloach '17 [1-3] Nick Heinen '16 [4] Caroline Keinath '17 [1-3]
James Island Charter High School	Varsity	8	10	4	12	34	Croix Farmer '17 Caroline Puckette '16
Glynn Academy	Varsity	1	1	DSQ	DSQ	36	Telmo Basterra '17 Emmie Landford '16
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors	10	12	5	10	37	Sam Cabiness '16 [1-4] Anna Tortorici '19 [1-3] Belle Valiulis '18 [4]
Ashley Hall	Panthers	11	8	8	11	38	Elizabeth Walters '16 Mary Hope Chakeris '18
Benedictine Military School	Varsity	14	9	13	6	42	Will Gladden '19 [1-4] Reid O'Brien '18 [1-2] Chris Pitts '18 [3-4]
Durham School of The Arts	Varsity	9	14	12	8	43	G. Alex White '16 David Robertson '17
Beaufort Academy	Varsity	13	6	10	14	43	Emily Potter '18 Sarah Blocker '18
Cape Fear Academy	CFA Varsity	16	15	14	4	49	Paul Novak '17 Jordan Caplanson Torrens '17
Pamlico County High School	Hurricanes	15	OCS	11	15	58	Alexis Edwards '16 Caroline James '18

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
Beaufort High School	Varsity	5	2	1	2	10	Walter Gnann '17 Luke Mcguire '18
Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	1	8	2	1	12	Garrett Mergenthaler '19 Jason Perryman '17
Lake Norman High School	Wildcats	2	7	5	4	18	Jacob Thompson '18 [1-4] William Bowden '16 [1-2] Declan O'Dell '18 [3-4]
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors	4	9	3	3	19	Chris Chaplin '16 Sarah Harrington '18
James Island Charter High School	Varsity	6	4	4	5	19	Jordan Newland '18 Britton Durst '19
Glynn Academy	Varsity	3	1	10	13	27	Griffin Stevenson '17 Olivia Pruitt '17
Ashley Hall	Panthers	7	11	7	9	34	Ann Sheridan '18 Julianna Skoglund '19
Durham School of The Arts	Varsity	14	5	6	10	35	Sam Finlay '17 Gareth Ferguson '19
Richmond Hill High School	Varsity	9	12	11	7	39	Michael Lane '17 Madelyn Hansen '17
Beaufort Academy	Varsity	12	6	12	11	41	James Hart '19 Max Stone '18
Wando High School	Wando Warriors	13	10	8	12	43	Sydney Register '18 James Renneker '18
Savannah Country Day School	Hornets	15	13	9	6	43	Sarah Glover '16 Catherine Atkinson '16
Pamlico County High School	Hurricanes	DSQ	3	13	14	47	Ben Bruno '18 Alden Sylvester '18
SOA Charleston School of the Arts	SOA Varsity	10	OCS	15	8	50	Frances Hart '19 Bridget Conelly '17
Cape Fear Academy	CFA Varsity	8	14	16	15	53	Lauren Birmingham '17 Cameron-Scott Smith '19
Benedictine Military School	Varsity	11	15	14	16	56	Matthew Gallovitch '18 [1-4] Hunter Fries '18 [1-2] Jack Foster '18 [3-4]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.050+0.05

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A
Academic Magnet High School Raptors	1	1	3	3
Ashley Hall Panthers	2	2	4	4
Beaufort High School Varsity	4	4	6	6
Beaufort Academy Varsity	3	3	5	5
Benedictine Military School Varsity	5	5	7	7
Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity	6	6	8	8
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity	14	14	5557	5557
Durham School of The Arts Varsity	7	7	9	9
Glynn Academy Varsity	8	8	10	10
James Island Charter High School Varsity	9	9	11	11
Lake Norman High School Wildcats	10	10	12	12
Pamlico County High School Hurricanes	11	11	13	13
Pine Lake Prep Varsity	12	12	14	14
Richmond Hill High School Varsity	13	13	16	16
Savannah Country Day School Hornets	16	16	1	1
Wando High School Wando Warriors	5557	5557	2	2

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B
Academic Magnet High School Raptors	2	2	4	4
Ashley Hall Panthers	3	3	5	5
Beaufort High School Varsity	5	5	7	7
Beaufort Academy Varsity	4	4	6	6
Benedictine Military School Varsity	6	6	8	8
Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity	7	7	9	9
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity	16	16	1	1
Durham School of The Arts Varsity	8	8	10	10
Glynn Academy Varsity	9	9	11	11
James Island Charter High School Varsity	10	10	12	12
Lake Norman High School Wildcats	11	11	13	13
Pamlico County High School Hurricanes	12	12	14	14
Pine Lake Prep Varsity	13	13	16	16
Richmond Hill High School Varsity	14	14	5557	5557
Savannah Country Day School Hornets	5557	5557	2	2
Wando High School Wando Warriors	1	1	3	3

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Academic Magnet High School	Sam Cabiness '16 [1-4]	Anna Tortorici '19 [1-3] Belle Valiulis '18 [4]
Raptors	Chris Chaplin '16	Sarah Harrington '18
Ashley Hall	Elizabeth Walters '16	Mary Hope Chakeris '18
Panthers	Ann Sheridan '18	Julianna Skoglund '19
Beaufort Academy	Emily Potter '18	Sarah Blocker '18
Varsity	James Hart '19	Max Stone '18
Beaufort High School	Alex Mazzeo '18 [1-4]	Austin (A.J.) Myers '18 [1-2] Sarah Suber '18 [3] Chris Hoogenboom '18 [4]
Varsity	Walter Gnann '17	Luke Mcguire '18
Benedictine Military School	Will Gladden '19 [1-4]	Reid O'Brien '18 [1-2] Chris Pitts '18 [3-4]
Varsity	Matthew Gallovitch '18 [1-4]	Hunter Fries '18 [1-2] Jack Foster '18 [3-4]
Cape Fear Academy	Paul Novak '17	Jordan Caplanson Torrens '17
CFA Varsity	Lauren Birmingham '17	Cameron-Scott Smith '19
Durham School of The Arts	G. Alex White '16	David Robertson '17
Varsity	Sam Finlay '17	Gareth Ferguson '19
Glynn Academy	Telmo Basterra '17	Emmie Landford '16
Varsity	Griffin Stevenson '17	Olivia Pruitt '17
James Island Charter High School	Croix Farmer '17	Caroline Puckette '16
Varsity	Jordan Newland '18	Britton Durst '19
Lake Norman High School	Matthew Chenard '17 [1-4]	Paul ("Trinity") Barger '17 [1-2] William Bowden '16 [3-4]
Wildcats	Jacob Thompson '18 [1-4]	William Bowden '16 [1-2] Declan O'Dell '18 [3-4]
Pamlico County High School	Alexis Edwards '16	Caroline James '18
Hurricanes	Ben Bruno '18	Alden Sylvester '18
Pine Lake Prep	Kyle Mergenthaler '16	Mackie Conner '16
Varsity	Garrett Mergenthaler '19	Jason Perryman '17
Richmond Hill High School	Valerio Petris '16	Elizabeth Tompkins '17
Varsity	Michael Lane '17	Madelyn Hansen '17
SOA Charleston School of the Arts	Sarah Deloach '17 [1-3] Nick Heinen '16 [4]	Caroline Keinath '17 [1-3]
SOA Varsity	Frances Hart '19	Bridget Conelly '17
Savannah Country Day School	Collin Porter '19	Cecilia Belzer '18
Hornets	Sarah Glover '16	Catherine Atkinson '16
Wando High School	Austin Ando '17	Heyward Main '19
Wando Warriors	Sydney Register '18	James Renneker '18

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Beaufort - North Points #5

Division A

Division B

From the notes