Little Daddy NorCal #5 GOLD

HostRichmond Yacht Club
Date04/02/2016
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Lynbrook High School	Vikings	20	20
2	Kirby School	Kirby Varsity	22	22
3	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Varsity	22	22
4	Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars	22	22
5	Harbor High School	Harbor Pirates	32	32
6	Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	38	38
7	Los Altos High	Eagles	48	48
8	Redwood High School	Giants 1	48	48
9	San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	51	51
10	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	56	56
11	Soquel High School	Soquel Varsity	63	63
12	Miramonte High School	Matadors	66	66
13	Aptos High School	Mariners	70	70
14	Menlo School	Varsity	102	102
15	Redwood High School	Giants 2	102	102
16	Santa Cruz High School	Varsity	102	102

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Lynbrook High School	Vikings	2	1	5	4	7	1	20	Thomas Samuels '17 Michael Zheng '19
Kirby School	Kirby Varsity	1	11	1	1	1	7	22	Josselyn Verutti '17 Olivia Beers '17
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Varsity	3	4	7	2	3	3	22	Justin Lim '19 Madeleine Roman '16
Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars	4	5	2	3	6	2	22	Sam Reynolds '17 Brett Baron '16
Harbor High School	Harbor Pirates	5	3	6	9	4	5	32	Ian Collignon '16 Chloe Long '19
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	6	8	3	5	10	6	38	Peter Werner '17 Jonathan Fisher '17
Los Altos High	Eagles	9	6	4	DSQ	8	4	48	Albert Zhao '19 Amir Tadros '19
Redwood High School	Giants 1	12	7	10	6	2	11	48	Connell Phillipps '19 [1-6] Madeline Stull '19 [1-2, 5] Madeline Wolfson '19 [3-4, 6]
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	8	12	9	8	5	9	51	Lily Cunningham '17 Rachel Sherr '16
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	10	9	8	10	11	8	56	John Deruff '17 Cali Salinas '19
Soquel High School	Soquel Varsity	7	10	11	11	12	12	63	Jackson Halderman '17 Max Peer '18
Miramonte High School	Matadors	OCS	2	OCS	7	13	10	66	Daniel Erisman '19 Kristen Zarembinski '19
Aptos High School	Mariners	11	13	12	12	9	13	70	Flora Van Der Schoot '16 [1-3, 6] Dana Foley '18 [4-5] Madeline Miller '16 [1-6]
Menlo School	Varsity	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	102	Bjorn Antell '17 Taggart Bonham '16
Redwood High School	Giants 2	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	102	Liam Farese '18 Gabe Marra '17
Santa Cruz High School	Varsity	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	102	Charlotte Lenz '16 Charlie Atkinson '18

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Aptos High School Mariners	101	101	101	101	101	101
Crystal Springs Uplands School Varsity	34	34	34	34	34	34
Half Moon Bay High School Cougars	137	137	137	137	137	137
Harbor High School Harbor Pirates	107	107	107	107	107	107
Kirby School Kirby Varsity	106	106	106	106	106	106
Los Altos High Eagles	33	33	33	33	33	33
Lynbrook High School Vikings	32	32	32	32	32	32
Menlo School Varsity	999	999	999	999	999	999
Miramonte High School Matadors	57	57	57	57	57	57
Redwood High School Giants 1	136	136	136	136	136	136
Redwood High School Giants 2	998	998	998	998	998	998
Santa Cruz High School Varsity	997	997	997	997	997	997
San Francisco University High School Red Devils	2	2	2	2	2	2
Soquel High School Soquel Varsity	104	104	104	104	104	104
Summit High School - Redwood, CA Varsity	30	30	30	30	30	30
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	83	83	83	83	83	83

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Aptos High School	Mariners	Flora Van Der Schoot '16 [1-3, 6] Dana Foley '18 [4-5]	Madeline Miller '16 [1-6]
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Varsity	Justin Lim '19	Madeleine Roman '16
Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars	Sam Reynolds '17	Brett Baron '16
Harbor High School	Harbor Pirates	Ian Collignon '16	Chloe Long '19
Kirby School	Kirby Varsity	Josselyn Verutti '17	Olivia Beers '17
Los Altos High	Eagles	Albert Zhao '19	Amir Tadros '19
Lynbrook High School	Vikings	Thomas Samuels '17	Michael Zheng '19
Menlo School	Varsity	Bjorn Antell '17	Taggart Bonham '16
Miramonte High School	Matadors	Daniel Erisman '19	Kristen Zarembinski '19
Redwood High School	Giants 1	Connell Phillipps '19 [1-6]	Madeline Stull '19 [1-2, 5] Madeline Wolfson '19 [3-4, 6]
Redwood High School	Giants 2	Liam Farese '18	Gabe Marra '17
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	Lily Cunningham '17	Rachel Sherr '16
Santa Cruz High School	Varsity	Charlotte Lenz '16	Charlie Atkinson '18
Soquel High School	Soquel Varsity	Jackson Halderman '17	Max Peer '18
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	Peter Werner '17	Jonathan Fisher '17
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	John Deruff '17	Cali Salinas '19

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Little Daddy NorCal #5 GOLD

Division A

From the notes