WI/IL Tier 3 Series - Event #2

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Winneconne High School Winneconne High School Wolves 22 22
2 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School JV 26 26
3 Catholic Memorial High School Catholic Memorial High School Varsity 52 52
4 Oshkosh West High School Oshkosh West High School Wildcats 55 55
5 Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy JV 66 66
6 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 78 78
7 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 1 80 80
8 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 2 90 90
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Winneconne High School Winneconne High School Wolves 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 3 3 22 Tommy Rorrer '18
Jack Scherer '21
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School JV 3 1 2 2 4 2 2 3 1 1 2 2 1 26 Christian Spencer '18
Myles Murphy '16
Catholic Memorial High School Catholic Memorial High School Varsity 5 3 7 4 2 7 3 2 3 4 7 1 4 52 Patrick Schmidt '17
Grayson Wallace '18
Oshkosh West High School Oshkosh West High School Wildcats 4 4 4 6 5 3 5 6 4 5 3 4 2 55 Reed Weston '19
Karson Mraz '19
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy JV 6 7 3 3 8 5 7 4 6 2 4 6 5 66 Darius Mienville '17
Ryan Gullang '18
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 1 6 5 5 6 4 8 5 8 7 6 8 DNS 78 Mackenzie Saucke '17
Odeja Ryan '19
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 1 8 5 6 7 3 6 6 8 7 8 5 5 6 80 Gray Knox '19
Casey Murray '20
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 2 7 8 8 8 7 8 4 7 5 6 8 7 7 90 Joe Goodzey '20
Graham Knox '20
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Catholic Memorial High School Catholic Memorial High School Varsity Patrick Schmidt '17 Grayson Wallace '18
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School JV Christian Spencer '18 Myles Murphy '16
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy JV Darius Mienville '17 Ryan Gullang '18
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 1 Gray Knox '19 Casey Murray '20
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 2 Joe Goodzey '20 Graham Knox '20
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons Mackenzie Saucke '17 Odeja Ryan '19
Oshkosh West High School Oshkosh West High School Wildcats Reed Weston '19 Karson Mraz '19
Winneconne High School Winneconne High School Wolves Tommy Rorrer '18 Jack Scherer '21

Conditions — 04/23/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1022.1 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From ESE (103°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover54% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1022.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Catholic Memorial/Germantown/Kettle Moraine/Oconomowoc: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Catholic Memorial/Germantown/Kettle Moraine/Oconomowoc by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Catholic Memorial/Germantown/Kettle Moraine/Oconomowoc, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →