Gold NorCal #6

HostRichmond YC/Marina Bay
Date03/26/2017
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	14	14
2	Kirby School	Griffins 1	17	17
3	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	41	41
4	Aptos High School	Mariners	49	49
5	Lynbrook High School	Vikings	55	55
6	Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 1	56	56
7	San Francisco University High School	Red Devils 2	56	56
8	Alameda High School	Hornets	59	59
9	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	60	60
10	Miramonte High School	Matadors	61	61
11	Soquel High School	Knights	69	69
12	Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 2	70	70
13	Kirby School	Griffins 2	71	71
14	College Park High School	Falcons	84	84
15	San Francisco University High School	Red Devils 1	95	95
16	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	110	110
17	Stevenson School	Pirates	112	112

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	1	1	3	1	1	5	2	14	Justin Lim '19 Kate Davidson '17
Kirby School	Griffins 1	4	6	1	2	2	1	1	17	Josselyn Verutti '17 Zoey Carmichael '19
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	3	5	4	11	6	9	3	41	Alex Pick '19 Aj Torres '19
Aptos High School	Mariners	8	12	10	8	4	2	5	49	Dana Foley '18 Sam Bach '19
Lynbrook High School	Vikings	2	2	2	3	10	DNS	DNS	55	Thomas Samuels '17 Jackson Clough '19
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 1	10	3	5	DNS	11	3	6	56	Michael Lively '18 Josh Cole '18
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils 2	14	8	13	4	7	6	4	56	Brian Kirz '18 Micherice Tao '19
Alameda High School	Hornets	5	4	9	9	9	14	9	59	Jonathon Andrews '20 Sean Tolen '20
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	6	11	7	10	14	4	8	60	Sarah Cuyler '19 Reid Wishner '19
Miramonte High School	Matadors	11	15	8	5	3	12	7	61	Daniel Erisman '19 Devon Kurisu '19
Soquel High School	Knights	9	9	14	12	5	8	12	69	Jackson Halderman '17 Max Peer '18
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 2	13	13	12	6	8	7	11	70	Thomas Laskarzewski '18 [1-4, 7] John Dilella '18 [5-6] Robert Laskarzewski '21 [1-2, 5-7] John Dilella '18 [3-4]
Kirby School	Griffins 2	7	7	6	13	15	10	13	71	Olivia Beers '17 Ben Risley '17
College Park High School	Falcons	12	DNS	11	7	13	13	10	84	Zack Taylor '19 Liam Guild '21
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils 1	15	10	15	14	12	15	14	95	Jeremy Gillespie '17 Graham Gerrity '17
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	17	14	17	15	16	16	15	110	Luke Marshall '19 Lily Hock '19
Stevenson School	Pirates	16	DNS	16	DNS	17	11	16	112	Vic Sahni '17 Jerry Li '18

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.070+0.07

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Alameda High School Hornets	56	56	56	56	56	56	56
Aptos High School Mariners	101	101	101	101	101	101	101
College Park High School Falcons	52	52	52	52	52	52	52
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins	35	35	35	35	35	35	35
Kirby School Griffins 1	106	106	106	106	106	106	106
Kirby School Griffins 2	102	102	102	102	102	102	102
Lynbrook High School Vikings	38	38	38	38	38	38	38
Miramonte High School Matadors	51	51	51	51	51	51	51
Monte Vista High School Mustangs 1	54	54	54	54	54	54	54
Monte Vista High School Mustangs 2	55	55	55	55	55	55	55
San Francisco University High School Red Devils 1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
San Francisco University High School Red Devils 2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Soquel High School Knights	104	104	104	104	104	104	104
Stevenson School Pirates	97	97	97	97	97	97	97
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	140	140	140	140	140	140	140
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	82	82	82	82	82	82	82

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Alameda High School	Hornets	Jonathon Andrews '20	Sean Tolen '20
Aptos High School	Mariners	Dana Foley '18	Sam Bach '19
College Park High School	Falcons	Zack Taylor '19	Liam Guild '21
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	Justin Lim '19	Kate Davidson '17
Kirby School	Griffins 1	Josselyn Verutti '17	Zoey Carmichael '19
Kirby School	Griffins 2	Olivia Beers '17	Ben Risley '17
Lynbrook High School	Vikings	Thomas Samuels '17	Jackson Clough '19
Miramonte High School	Matadors	Daniel Erisman '19	Devon Kurisu '19
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 1	Michael Lively '18	Josh Cole '18
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 2	Thomas Laskarzewski '18 [1-4, 7] John Dilella '18 [5-6]	Robert Laskarzewski '21 [1-2, 5-7] John Dilella '18 [3-4]
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils 1	Jeremy Gillespie '17	Graham Gerrity '17
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils 2	Brian Kirz '18	Micherice Tao '19
Soquel High School	Knights	Jackson Halderman '17	Max Peer '18
Stevenson School	Pirates	Vic Sahni '17	Jerry Li '18
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	Luke Marshall '19	Lily Hock '19
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	Sarah Cuyler '19	Reid Wishner '19
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	Alex Pick '19	Aj Torres '19

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

Gold NorCal #6

Division A

From the notes