SAISA North #5 - Beaufort

HostBeaufort
Date03/04/2017
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Myers Park High School	Mustangs	38	16	54
2	James Island Charter High School	Varsity	36	19	55
3	Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	31	28	59
4	Beaufort High School	Varsity	9	60	69
5	Wando	Wando Warriors	42	27	69
6	Savannah Country Day School	Hornets	24	63	87
7	Glynn Academy	Varsity	52	39	91
8	Lake Norman High School	Wildcats	65	28	93
9	Porter-Gaud School	Varsity	51	46	97
10	Cape Fear Academy	CFA Varsity	46	71	117
11	SOA Charleston School of the Arts	SOA Varsity	42	76	118
12	Ashley Hall	Panthers	64	60	124
13	John T. Hoggard High School	Hoggard	39	96	135
14	Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	77	64	141
15	Richmond Hill High School	Varsity	87	61	148
16	Benedictine Military School	Varsity	89	66	155

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Beaufort High School	Varsity	1	1	1	1	3	2	9	Walter Gnann '17 Austin (A.J.) Myers '18
Savannah Country Day School	Hornets	2	7	6	4	2	3	24	Collin Porter '19 Cecilia Belzer '18
Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	BKD	BKD	2	9	BKD	5	31	Garrett Mergenthaler '19 Jason Perryman '17
James Island Charter High School	Varsity	3	5	8	11	5	4	36	Croix Farmer '17 [1-6] Bobby Baker '18 [1-4] Britton Durst '19 [5-6]
Myers Park High School	Mustangs	BKD	BKD	11	5	1	10	38	Adam Larson '19 [1-6] Kenny Corsig '19 [1-2] Will Dobrowski '19 [3-6]
John T. Hoggard High School	Hoggard	6	6	4	12	10	1	39	Scott Harris '18 [1-6] Cooper Whitehead '18 [1-4] Sean Harris '20 [5-6]
SOA Charleston School of the Arts	SOA Varsity	8	2	10	7	4	11	42	Sarah Deloach '17 Caroline Keinath '17
Wando	Wando Warriors	11	3	7	3	11	7	42	Austin Ando '17 Austin Googer '17
Cape Fear Academy	CFA Varsity	5	12	9	6	8	6	46	Benjamin Smith '22 Gavin Bahner '22
Porter-Gaud School	Varsity	12	4	3	10	14	8	51	Joey Chomyn '19 William Chapman '18
Glynn Academy	Varsity	10	11	13	2	7	9	52	Griffin Stevenson '17 Stefan Tobler '18
Ashley Hall	Panthers	9	13	5	15	9	13	64	Ann Sheridan '18 Elizabeth Ouzts '17
Lake Norman High School	Wildcats	7	8	12	14	12	12	65	Matthew Chenard '17 [1-6] Jacob Thompson '18 [1-2] Evan Chenard '20 [3-6]
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	13	10	15	8	15	16	77	Connor Young '17 Caelan Paquette '20
Richmond Hill High School	Varsity	15	14	14	13	16	15	87	Cade Hughes '18 [1-6] Jacob Winters '17 [1-2] Sadie Ingram '17 [3-6]
Benedictine Military School	Varsity	14	BKD	DSQ	16	13	14	89	Will Gladden '19 [1-2, 5-6] Connor Jacobsen '19 [3-4] Reid O'Brien '18 [1-4] Connor Jacobsen '19 [5-6]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Myers Park High School	Mustangs	2	3	1	4	1	5	16	Kenny Corsig '19 Gantt Renner '19
James Island Charter High School	Varsity	1	2	2	3	4	7	19	Jordan Newland '18 [1-6] Megan Fetterley '19 [1-4] Lindsey Hanckel '17 [5-6]
Wando	Wando Warriors	4	5	12	1	2	3	27	Jamie Renneker '18 [1-6] Jack Sutton '18 [1-2] Caroline Main '18 [3-6]
Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	5	1	8	5	3	6	28	Luke Volk '17 [1-6] Sammy Choufanni '17 [1-4] Jenna Stephens '18 [5-6]
Lake Norman High School	Wildcats	6	8	5	2	6	1	28	Jacob Thompson '18 [1-6] Evan Chenard '20 [1-2] Chris Hartman '20 [3-6]
Glynn Academy	Varsity	3	11	4	8	5	8	39	Alex Graiser '18 Riley Power '18
Porter-Gaud School	Varsity	8	4	10	13	7	4	46	Neil Walters '20 [1-6] Peter Buyck '18 [1-2, 5-6] Alex Lopez Vara '18 [3-4]
Beaufort High School	Varsity	7	7	13	7	14	12	60	Jacob Lawson '18 [1-5] Sarah Suber '18 [6] Sarah Suber '18 [1-2, 5] Robin Bridgers '17 [3-4] Jacob Lawson '18 [6]
Ashley Hall	Panthers	9	10	15	9	8	9	60	Julianna Skoglund '19 Scout Taylor '17
Richmond Hill High School	Varsity	14	6	3	6	DNF	15	61	Elizabeth Tompkins '17 [1-6] Sophia Cerrone '17 [1-2] Elle Jacobsson '19 [3-6]
Savannah Country Day School	Hornets	11	13	7	11	10	11	63	Duke Cowart '19 Mario Ojeda '18
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	12	15	11	12	12	2	64	Allie Ugur '17 Conner Westerling '20
Benedictine Military School	Varsity	10	9	14	10	9	14	66	Newman Charlie '19 Robert "Mac" Graham '19
Cape Fear Academy	CFA Varsity	13	12	9	16	11	10	71	Mairead Benson '22 Polk Baggett '22
SOA Charleston School of the Arts	SOA Varsity	15	14	6	15	13	13	76	Frances Hart '19 Bridget Conley '17
John T. Hoggard High School	Hoggard	16	OCS	16	14	DNF	16	96	Cameron Sechrist '18 [1-6] Sean Harris '20 [1-4] Cooper Whitehead '18 [5-6]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Academic Magnet High School Raptors A	1	1	3	3	5	5
Ashley Hall Panthers	2	2	4	4	6	6
Beaufort High School Varsity	3	3	5	5	7	7
Benedictine Military School Varsity	4	4	6	6	8	8
Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity	5	5	7	7	9	9
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity	14	14	33	33	2	2
Glynn Academy Varsity	6	6	8	8	10	10
James Island Charter High School Varsity	7	7	9	9	11	11
John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard	8	8	10	10	12	12
Lake Norman High School Wildcats	9	9	11	11	13	13
Myers Park High School Mustangs	10	10	12	12	14	14
Pine Lake Prep Varsity	11	11	13	13	28	28
Porter-Gaud School Varsity	12	12	14	14	33	33
Richmond Hill High School Varsity	13	13	28	28	1	1
Savannah Country Day School Hornets	28	28	1	1	3	3
Wando Wando Warriors	33	33	2	2	4	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Academic Magnet High School Raptors A	2	2	4	4	6	6
Ashley Hall Panthers	3	3	5	5	7	7
Beaufort High School Varsity	4	4	6	6	8	8
Benedictine Military School Varsity	5	5	7	7	9	9
Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity	6	6	8	8	10	10
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity	28	28	1	1	3	3
Glynn Academy Varsity	7	7	9	9	11	11
James Island Charter High School Varsity	8	8	10	10	12	12
John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard	9	9	11	11	13	13
Lake Norman High School Wildcats	10	10	12	12	14	14
Myers Park High School Mustangs	11	11	13	13	28	28
Pine Lake Prep Varsity	12	12	14	14	33	33
Porter-Gaud School Varsity	13	13	28	28	1	1
Richmond Hill High School Varsity	14	14	33	33	2	2
Savannah Country Day School Hornets	33	33	2	2	4	4
Wando Wando Warriors	1	1	3	3	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Academic Magnet High School	Connor Young '17	Caelan Paquette '20
Raptors A	Allie Ugur '17	Conner Westerling '20
Ashley Hall	Ann Sheridan '18	Elizabeth Ouzts '17
Panthers	Julianna Skoglund '19	Scout Taylor '17
Beaufort High School	Walter Gnann '17	Austin (A.J.) Myers '18
Varsity	Jacob Lawson '18 [1-5] Sarah Suber '18 [6]	Sarah Suber '18 [1-2, 5] Robin Bridgers '17 [3-4] Jacob Lawson '18 [6]
Benedictine Military School	Will Gladden '19 [1-2, 5-6] Connor Jacobsen '19 [3-4]	Reid O'Brien '18 [1-4] Connor Jacobsen '19 [5-6]
Varsity	Newman Charlie '19	Robert "Mac" Graham '19
Cape Fear Academy	Benjamin Smith '22	Gavin Bahner '22
CFA Varsity	Mairead Benson '22	Polk Baggett '22
Glynn Academy	Griffin Stevenson '17	Stefan Tobler '18
Varsity	Alex Graiser '18	Riley Power '18
James Island Charter High School	Croix Farmer '17 [1-6]	Bobby Baker '18 [1-4] Britton Durst '19 [5-6]
Varsity	Jordan Newland '18 [1-6]	Megan Fetterley '19 [1-4] Lindsey Hanckel '17 [5-6]
John T. Hoggard High School	Scott Harris '18 [1-6]	Cooper Whitehead '18 [1-4] Sean Harris '20 [5-6]
Hoggard	Cameron Sechrist '18 [1-6]	Sean Harris '20 [1-4] Cooper Whitehead '18 [5-6]
Lake Norman High School	Matthew Chenard '17 [1-6]	Jacob Thompson '18 [1-2] Evan Chenard '20 [3-6]
Wildcats	Jacob Thompson '18 [1-6]	Evan Chenard '20 [1-2] Chris Hartman '20 [3-6]
Myers Park High School	Adam Larson '19 [1-6]	Kenny Corsig '19 [1-2] Will Dobrowski '19 [3-6]
Mustangs	Kenny Corsig '19	Gantt Renner '19
Pine Lake Prep	Garrett Mergenthaler '19	Jason Perryman '17
Varsity	Luke Volk '17 [1-6]	Sammy Choufanni '17 [1-4] Jenna Stephens '18 [5-6]
Porter-Gaud School	Joey Chomyn '19	William Chapman '18
Varsity	Neil Walters '20 [1-6]	Peter Buyck '18 [1-2, 5-6] Alex Lopez Vara '18 [3-4]
Richmond Hill High School	Cade Hughes '18 [1-6]	Jacob Winters '17 [1-2] Sadie Ingram '17 [3-6]
Varsity	Elizabeth Tompkins '17 [1-6]	Sophia Cerrone '17 [1-2] Elle Jacobsson '19 [3-6]
SOA Charleston School of the Arts	Sarah Deloach '17	Caroline Keinath '17
SOA Varsity	Frances Hart '19	Bridget Conley '17
Savannah Country Day School	Collin Porter '19	Cecilia Belzer '18
Hornets	Duke Cowart '19	Mario Ojeda '18
Wando	Austin Ando '17	Austin Googer '17
Wando Warriors	Jamie Renneker '18 [1-6]	Jack Sutton '18 [1-2] Caroline Main '18 [3-6]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SAISA North #5 - Beaufort

Division A

Division B

From the notes