Nor Cal Divisional Championship Gold

HostPYSF
Date03/30/2019
TypeLeague Championship
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	16	15	31
2	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	23	25	48
3	Design Tech High School	d.tech	37	19	56
4	The Urban School	Blues	39	34	73
5	Amador Valley	Dons	28	53	81
6	Granada High School	Matadors 1	43	49	92
7	Redwood High School	Giants	48	44	92
8	Granada High School	Matadors 2	67	67	134

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	7	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	16	Justin Lim '19 Arianna Smith '21
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	3	2	5	2	3	5	2	1	23	Emma Figueredo '19 Francis Tarpey-Shwed '19
Amador Valley	Dons	1	4	2	7	4	3	4	3	28	Christopher Hopkins '21 Maks Shikhaleev '22
Design Tech High School	d.tech	4	6	4	4	5	7	3	4	37	Josh Goldberg '21 Tj Gee '23
The Urban School	Blues	5	3	7	3	2	1	DNS	DNS	39	Eli Gordon '20 Dinah Luomanen '21
Granada High School	Matadors 1	2	5	3	5	6	4	DNS	DNS	43	Peter Marlett '19 Jacob Bauman '22
Redwood High School	Giants	6	7	6	6	7	6	5	5	48	Bodhi "Bo" Tippo '21 [1-8] Taylor Elliott '22 [1-4, 7-8] Chas Mitchell '22 [5-6]
Granada High School	Matadors 2	8	8	8	8	8	DNS	DNS	DNS	67

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	1	3	1	3	1	1	1	4	15	Mason Stang '21 [1-8] Anthony Newman '21 [1-7] Sophia Vinson '23 [8]
Design Tech High School	d.tech	4	1	2	1	3	3	2	3	19	Jemma Schroder '20 [1-6, 8] Michael Mcculloch '21 [7] Zoe Flemente '21 [1-8]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	2	4	4	4	2	4	3	2	25	Luke Marshall '20 [1-6] Griffin Chen '19 [7-8] Kendall Scanlan '21 [1-8]
The Urban School	Blues	3	2	3	2	4	2	DNS	DNS	34	J.P. Murphy '21 [1-8] Anna Krylova '20 [1-2, 5-6] Christopher Mullen '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Redwood High School	Giants	7	6	5	6	6	DNS	4	1	44	Hannah Sellers '22 [1-8] Katherine Norris '22 [1-4, 7-8] Taylor Elliott '22 [5-6]
Granada High School	Matadors 1	5	5	6	5	5	5	DNS	DNS	49	Rebecca Bauman '20 Joseph Marlett '23
Amador Valley	Dons	6	7	7	7	7	DNS	5	5	53	Paulo Parramon '21 Alec Niehaus '20
Granada High School	Matadors 2	8	8	8	8	8	DNS	DNS	DNS	67

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Amador Valley Dons	44	44	44	44	44	44	44	44
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins	33	33	33	33	33	33	33	33
Design Tech High School d.tech	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34
Granada High School Matadors 1	148	148	148	148	148	148	148	148
Granada High School Matadors 2	149	149	149	149	149	149	149	149
Redwood High School Giants	124	124	124	124	124	124	124	124
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	139	139	139	139	139	139	139	139
The Urban School Blues	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Amador Valley Dons	44	44	44	44	44	44	44	44
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins	33	33	33	33	33	33	33	33
Design Tech High School d.tech	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34
Granada High School Matadors 1	148	148	148	148	148	148	148	148
Granada High School Matadors 2	149	149	149	149	149	149	149	149
Redwood High School Giants	124	124	124	124	124	124	124	124
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	139	139	139	139	139	139	139	139
The Urban School Blues	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Amador Valley	Christopher Hopkins '21	Maks Shikhaleev '22
Dons	Paulo Parramon '21	Alec Niehaus '20
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Justin Lim '19	Arianna Smith '21
Griffins	Mason Stang '21 [1-8]	Anthony Newman '21 [1-7] Sophia Vinson '23 [8]
Design Tech High School	Josh Goldberg '21	Tj Gee '23
d.tech	Jemma Schroder '20 [1-6, 8] Michael Mcculloch '21 [7]	Zoe Flemente '21 [1-8]
Granada High School	Peter Marlett '19	Jacob Bauman '22
Matadors 1	Rebecca Bauman '20	Joseph Marlett '23
Redwood High School	Bodhi "Bo" Tippo '21 [1-8]	Taylor Elliott '22 [1-4, 7-8] Chas Mitchell '22 [5-6]
Giants	Hannah Sellers '22 [1-8]	Katherine Norris '22 [1-4, 7-8] Taylor Elliott '22 [5-6]
Tamalpais High School	Emma Figueredo '19	Francis Tarpey-Shwed '19
Red Tailed Hawks	Luke Marshall '20 [1-6] Griffin Chen '19 [7-8]	Kendall Scanlan '21 [1-8]
The Urban School	Eli Gordon '20	Dinah Luomanen '21
Blues	J.P. Murphy '21 [1-8]	Anna Krylova '20 [1-2, 5-6] Christopher Mullen '21 [3-4, 7-8]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Nor Cal Divisional Championship Gold

Division A

Division B

From the notes