New Orleans Series 7

HostSouthern Yacht Club
Date04/09/2021
TypeIn-League
BoatC420
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Ben Franklin High School	Falcons	4	4
2	Ursuline Academy	Lions 2	5	5
3	Ursuline Academy	Lions 3	9	9
4	Ursuline Academy	Lions 1	12	12
5	Academy of the Sacred Heart	ASH Varsity 2	17	17
6	Ursuline Academy	Lions-Eighth Grade	18	18
7	Academy of the Sacred Heart	ASH Varsity 1	19	19

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	TOT	Sailors
Ben Franklin High School	Falcons	1	1	2	4	Harriss Thorne '23 Elise Poche '23
Ursuline Academy	Lions 2	2	2	1	5	Emerson Goodlett '24 Madelyn Oster '24
Ursuline Academy	Lions 3	3	3	3	9	Isabella White '22 Isabella Webster '22
Ursuline Academy	Lions 1	4	4	4	12	Meghan Keen '22 [1-3] Zoe Hozenthal '24 [1-2] Lauren Galligan '25 [3]
Academy of the Sacred Heart	ASH Varsity 2	6	6	5	17	Ellie Hebert '23 Shelby Marie Lasalle '23
Ursuline Academy	Lions-Eighth Grade	5	7	6	18	Mackenzie Caballero '25 [1-3] Lola Overstreet '25 [1] Bryanna Foster '25 [2-3]
Academy of the Sacred Heart	ASH Varsity 1	7	5	7	19	Mary Rose Neumeyer '21 Elise Hieger '23

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.130+0.13

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A
Academy of the Sacred Heart ASH Varsity 1	37	37	37
Academy of the Sacred Heart ASH Varsity 2	38	38	38
Ben Franklin High School Falcons	1	1	1
Ursuline Academy Lions 1	4	4	4
Ursuline Academy Lions 2	6	6	6
Ursuline Academy Lions 3	1727	1727	1727
Ursuline Academy Lions-Eighth Grade	3	3	3

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Academy of the Sacred Heart	ASH Varsity 1	Mary Rose Neumeyer '21	Elise Hieger '23
Academy of the Sacred Heart	ASH Varsity 2	Ellie Hebert '23	Shelby Marie Lasalle '23
Ben Franklin High School	Falcons	Harriss Thorne '23	Elise Poche '23
Ursuline Academy	Lions 1	Meghan Keen '22 [1-3]	Zoe Hozenthal '24 [1-2] Lauren Galligan '25 [3]
Ursuline Academy	Lions 2	Emerson Goodlett '24	Madelyn Oster '24
Ursuline Academy	Lions 3	Isabella White '22	Isabella Webster '22
Ursuline Academy	Lions-Eighth Grade	Mackenzie Caballero '25 [1-3]	Lola Overstreet '25 [1] Bryanna Foster '25 [2-3]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

New Orleans Series 7

Division A

From the notes