NJISA 2021 BBYRA Spring Invitational

HostTRYC & BBYRA
Date04/24/2021
TypeIn-League
BoatC420/CFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Ranney School	Panthers	17	12	29
2	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	33	15	48
3	Biotechnology High School	Nerds	47	30	77
4	Toms River North	Mariners	39	50	89
5	Conestoga High School	Pioneers	57	36	93
6	Delbarton School	Green Wave	41	56	97
7	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	38	69	107
8	Chatham High School	Cougars 1	37	77	114
9	Rumson-Fair Haven	Bulldogs	74	51	125
10	Summit High School	Hilltoppers	77	63	140
11	Central Regional High School	Eagles	91	79	170
12	Trinity Hall	Monarchs	102	71	173
13	Chatham High School	Cougars 2	88	96	184

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Ranney School	Panthers	3	3	3	2	2	1	2	1	17	Brooke Schmelz '21 Ashley Abboud '22
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	4	5	5	3	1	7	4	4	33	Ryan Ehnot '22 Connor Feury '22
Chatham High School	Cougars 1	7	2	8	6	7	3	1	3	37	Thomas Marino '21 Paige Lubrano '22
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	5	4	6	5	4	4	5	5	38	Noah Kuzloski '23 [1-8] Nicholas Cunha '23 [1-2] Andrew Chiles '23 [3-8]
Toms River North	Mariners	2	7	2	1	8	2	3	DNF	39	Everett Botwinick '22 Evan Harrison '21
Delbarton School	Green Wave	8	6	4	4	5	5	7	2	41	James O'Gwen '23 Johnny Lang '23
Biotechnology High School	Nerds	1	1	1	9	6	9	6	DNS	47	Benson Chiles '22 Ronan Downie '22
Conestoga High School	Pioneers	9	8	7	8	3	8	8	6	57	Connor Demming '23 Dermott Breault '22
Rumson-Fair Haven	Bulldogs	10	10	9	7	9	6	9	DNF	74	Sophie Harrington '22 Owen Geohegan '22
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	6	11	10	11	10	11	10	8	77	Lauren Murray '24 [1-4] Lilly Shanker '22 [5-8] Lilly Shanker '22 [1-4] Dara Greengrass '24 [5-8]
Chatham High School	Cougars 2	11	13	11	10	12	12	12	7	88	Ciara Doherty '21 [1-8] Bea Tanas '24 [1-2, 7-8] Milos Buchberger '21 [3-6]
Central Regional High School	Eagles	13	12	13	12	11	10	11	9	91	Owen Desanto '23 Vaughn Armstrong '22
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	12	9	12	13	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNF	102	No Show No Show

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Ranney School	Panthers	1	1	1	3	1	2	1	2	12	Alexa Whitman '22 [1-8] Grace Bray '23 [1-2, 5-6] Alexandria Forrest '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	2	3	2	1	3	1	2	1	15	Colin Guerrera '22 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Biotechnology High School	Nerds	3	4	5	2	4	BKD	BKD	BYE	30	Gabby Fontana '23 [1-8] Aiden Welch '24 [1-2, 5-8] Andrew Pepe '23 [3-4]
Conestoga High School	Pioneers	6	5	4	5	6	3	4	3	36	Bella Cremer '24 Jp Small '22
Toms River North	Mariners	5	11	7	7	7	4	5	4	50	Iliana Vasslides '23 Lindsay Walsh '23
Rumson-Fair Haven	Bulldogs	4	2	6	6	5	11	3	DNS	51	Logan Twining '22 Hannah Nitka '25
Delbarton School	Green Wave	10	7	3	9	9	6	6	6	56	Ryan Smith '21 Julien Dietrich '24
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	9	6	8	11	8	9	7	5	63	Katie Penque '22 [1-8] Sarah Kane '22 [1-4] Ruby Wright '24 [5-8]
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	8	9	11	8	11	7	8	7	69	Walter Mehl '21 [1-2] Matthew Wilhelm '24 [3-8] Luke Pennisi '24 [1-2] John Flannery '23 [3-8]
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	11	13	10	4	2	DNF	9	8	71	No Show No Show
Chatham High School	Cougars 1	7	10	12	12	10	5	10	11	77	Jamie Lynch '23 [1-2, 5-6] Jonathan Field '22 [3-4, 7-8] Jonathan Field '22 [1-2, 5-6] Keira Press '23 [3-4] Milos Buchberger '21 [7-8]
Central Regional High School	Eagles	12	8	9	10	12	8	11	9	79	Leila Cavanaugh '23 Lauren Desanto '25
Chatham High School	Cougars 2	13	12	13	13	13	10	12	10	96	Veloce Scott '21 Allison Baun '22

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.110+0.11

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2020 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Biotechnology High School Nerds	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Central Regional High School Eagles	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Chatham High School Cougars 1	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Chatham High School Cougars 2	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Conestoga High School Pioneers	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Delbarton School Green Wave	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Ranney School Panthers	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Summit High School Hilltoppers	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Toms River North Mariners	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Trinity Hall Monarchs	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Biotechnology High School Nerds	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Central Regional High School Eagles	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Chatham High School Cougars 1	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Chatham High School Cougars 2	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Conestoga High School Pioneers	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Delbarton School Green Wave	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Ranney School Panthers	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Summit High School Hilltoppers	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Toms River North Mariners	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Trinity Hall Monarchs	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Biotechnology High School	Benson Chiles '22	Ronan Downie '22
Nerds	Gabby Fontana '23 [1-8]	Aiden Welch '24 [1-2, 5-8] Andrew Pepe '23 [3-4]
Central Regional High School	Owen Desanto '23	Vaughn Armstrong '22
Eagles	Leila Cavanaugh '23	Lauren Desanto '25
Chatham High School	Thomas Marino '21	Paige Lubrano '22
Cougars 1	Jamie Lynch '23 [1-2, 5-6] Jonathan Field '22 [3-4, 7-8]	Jonathan Field '22 [1-2, 5-6] Keira Press '23 [3-4] Milos Buchberger '21 [7-8]
Chatham High School	Ciara Doherty '21 [1-8]	Bea Tanas '24 [1-2, 7-8] Milos Buchberger '21 [3-6]
Cougars 2	Veloce Scott '21	Allison Baun '22
Christian Brothers Academy	Ryan Ehnot '22	Connor Feury '22
Colts 1	Colin Guerrera '22	Mitchell Hnatt '24
Christian Brothers Academy	Noah Kuzloski '23 [1-8]	Nicholas Cunha '23 [1-2] Andrew Chiles '23 [3-8]
Colts 2	Walter Mehl '21 [1-2] Matthew Wilhelm '24 [3-8]	Luke Pennisi '24 [1-2] John Flannery '23 [3-8]
Conestoga High School	Connor Demming '23	Dermott Breault '22
Pioneers	Bella Cremer '24	Jp Small '22
Delbarton School	James O'Gwen '23	Johnny Lang '23
Green Wave	Ryan Smith '21	Julien Dietrich '24
Ranney School	Brooke Schmelz '21	Ashley Abboud '22
Panthers	Alexa Whitman '22 [1-8]	Grace Bray '23 [1-2, 5-6] Alexandria Forrest '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Rumson-Fair Haven	Sophie Harrington '22	Owen Geohegan '22
Bulldogs	Logan Twining '22	Hannah Nitka '25
Summit High School	Lauren Murray '24 [1-4] Lilly Shanker '22 [5-8]	Lilly Shanker '22 [1-4] Dara Greengrass '24 [5-8]
Hilltoppers	Katie Penque '22 [1-8]	Sarah Kane '22 [1-4] Ruby Wright '24 [5-8]
Toms River North	Everett Botwinick '22	Evan Harrison '21
Mariners	Iliana Vasslides '23	Lindsay Walsh '23
Trinity Hall	No Show	No Show
Monarchs	No Show	No Show

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NJISA 2021 BBYRA Spring Invitational

Division A

Division B

From the notes