SEISA Spring Fling

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Lutheran South Academy Lutheran South Academy Varsity 1 25 25
2 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 4 31 31
3 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 1 35 35
4 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 2 46 46
5 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 5 59 59
6 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 3 68 68
7 Lutheran South Academy Lutheran South Academy Varsity 2 75 75
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Lutheran South Academy Lutheran South Academy Varsity 1 1 2 2 4 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 1 25 Stephen Momeier '23
Reina Li '23
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 4 3 5 1 2 5 2 1 3 4 1 1 3 31 Aidan Dennis '21
Madison Holm '22
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 1 4 1 3 6 2 4 2 1 3 3 4 2 35 Ava Anderson '23
Margaret Schuler '21
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 2 5 3 5 3 1 3 7 4 1 6 3 5 46 Truman Bright '23
Olivia Espiritu '21
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 5 6 4 4 1 4 6 4 5 6 5 7 7 59 Piotr Smieja '22
Lorelai Kagey '24
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 3 2 6 6 5 6 5 5 7 7 7 6 6 68 Kate Dennis '23 [1-6]
Hayley Guidry '22 [7-12]
Benjamin Dunphey '22 [1-6]
Lutheran South Academy Lutheran South Academy Varsity 2 7 7 DNS 7 DNF DNS 6 6 5 4 5 4 75 Sam Roberts '23
Riley Guidry '24

Conditions — 03/06/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1023.6 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.4 kn
Gusts to 22.5 kn
From NNE (24°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1023.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Clear Falls: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.28 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clear Falls by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Clear Falls, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →