NJISA 2022 Girls' Fleet Championship

HostCBA, TRYC & BBYRA
Date04/24/2022
TypeLeague Championship
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	The Pingry School	The Pingry	20	20
2	Southern Regional High School	Rams 1	32	32
3	Southern Regional High School	Rams 2	53	53
4	Toms River South	Indians	54	54
5	Summit High School	Hilltoppers 1	55	55
6	Ranney School	Panthers 1	55	55
7	Ranney School	Panthers 2	55	55
8	Academy of Notre Dame	Irish	64	64
9	Summit High School	Hilltoppers 2	76	76
10	Trinity Hall	Monarchs	92	92
11	Point Pleasant Beach High School	Garnett Gulls	130	130
12	Chatham High School	Cougars	130	130

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
The Pingry School	The Pingry	1	2	1	3	4	2	2	2	1	2	20	Charlotte Cundey '26 Abigail Baird '24
Southern Regional High School	Rams 1	9	1	2	1	1	1	5	5	3	4	32	Kennedy Laureigh '22 Natalie Shaw '23
Southern Regional High School	Rams 2	8	8	5	2	3	6	9	4	2	6	53	Belle Placa '25 Erin Little '24
Toms River South	Indians	2	4	3	9	10	4	8	6	5	3	54	Ella Demand '24 [1-10] Ava Mcnabb '24 [1-6] Mollie Smith '25 [7-10]
Summit High School	Hilltoppers 1	4	5	8	8	7	5	3	1	7	7	55	Lauren Murray '24 Lilly Shanker '22
Ranney School	Panthers 1	6	3	4	7	5	3	1	9	9	8	55	Alexa Whitman '22 Ashley Abboud '22
Ranney School	Panthers 2	DNF	6	6	5	2	7	4	3	4	5	55	Grace Bray '23 Alexandria Forrest '22
Academy of Notre Dame	Irish	3	10	7	4	8	8	6	7	10	1	64	Ava Del Vescovo '23 Ellie Pinto '23
Summit High School	Hilltoppers 2	5	9	9	6	6	9	7	8	8	9	76	Katie Penque '22 Sarah Kane '22
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	7	7	10	10	9	10	DNF	10	6	10	92	Sydney Gusmer '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Alexandra Decosta '24 [3-4, 7-8] Julianna Walsh '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Greta Senft '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Point Pleasant Beach High School	Garnett Gulls	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	130	No Show No Show
Chatham High School	Cougars	DNF	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	130	Keira Press '23 Divyanshi Rath '25

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.050+0.05

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
Academy of Notre Dame Irish	20	20	20	20	20	20	20	20	20	20
Chatham High School Cougars	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
Ranney School Panthers 1	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
Ranney School Panthers 2	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Southern Regional High School Rams 1	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Southern Regional High School Rams 2	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Summit High School Hilltoppers 1	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Summit High School Hilltoppers 2	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
The Pingry School The Pingry	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Toms River South Indians	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Trinity Hall Monarchs	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Academy of Notre Dame	Irish	Ava Del Vescovo '23	Ellie Pinto '23
Chatham High School	Cougars	Keira Press '23	Divyanshi Rath '25
Point Pleasant Beach High School	Garnett Gulls	No Show	No Show
Ranney School	Panthers 1	Alexa Whitman '22	Ashley Abboud '22
Ranney School	Panthers 2	Grace Bray '23	Alexandria Forrest '22
Southern Regional High School	Rams 1	Kennedy Laureigh '22	Natalie Shaw '23
Southern Regional High School	Rams 2	Belle Placa '25	Erin Little '24
Summit High School	Hilltoppers 1	Lauren Murray '24	Lilly Shanker '22
Summit High School	Hilltoppers 2	Katie Penque '22	Sarah Kane '22
The Pingry School	The Pingry	Charlotte Cundey '26	Abigail Baird '24
Toms River South	Indians	Ella Demand '24 [1-10]	Ava Mcnabb '24 [1-6] Mollie Smith '25 [7-10]
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	Sydney Gusmer '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Alexandra Decosta '24 [3-4, 7-8]	Julianna Walsh '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Greta Senft '24 [3-4, 7-8]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NJISA 2022 Girls' Fleet Championship

Division A

From the notes