Mallory Pre Qualifier East Michigan

HostSeaholm
Date04/15/2023
TypeDistrict Champ Qualifier
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	18	54	72
2	Holland Christian High School	Maroon	53	21	74
3	Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Cubs	46	50	96
4	Cranbrook Kingswood	Blue	56	48	104
5	West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	57	50	107
6	Troy High School	Varsity	63	53	116
7	East Lansing High School	East Lansing HS	58	75	133
8	Birmingham Public Schools	Varsity	73	63	136
9	Detroit Country Day School	Varsity	63	81	144
10	Black River Public School	Varsity	68	81	149
11	Grosse Pointe North High School	Norsemen	112	90	202
12	University Liggett School	Varsity	115	116	231

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	3	2	1	1	5	2	1	1	1	1	18	Gavin Webster '24 Colin Hexter '23
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Cubs	6	9	5	4	3	4	2	4	6	3	46	Graham Rebain '25 [1-10] Maverick Killips '25 [1-2] Liam Dowling '24 [3-10]
Holland Christian High School	Maroon	5	7	9	3	1	9	5	6	2	6	53	Greta Traver '23 Sophia Pierce '23
Cranbrook Kingswood	Blue	2	1	10	2	9	10	9	5	4	4	56	Charlie Gonzalez '23 Jack Harman '23
West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	9	3	2	8	8	5	6	2	9	5	57	Vinny Paliga '24 Jack Armstrong '25
East Lansing High School	East Lansing HS	7	6	4	10	2	6	11	7	3	2	58	Michael Cyrul '24 Clayton Debruyn '26
Detroit Country Day School	Varsity	1	4	6	9	6	7	4	8	8	10	63	Liam Hounsell '23 [1-9] Andrew Wiand '25 [10] Miles Laker '23 [1-3] Andrew Wiand '25 [4-9] Liam Hounsell '23 [10]
Troy High School	Varsity	8	5	3	6	10	1	3	10	10	7	63	Rodrigo Flores '24 Clara Le Moal '24
Black River Public School	Varsity	4	8	7	5	7	12	7	3	7	8	68	Lj Nykamp '25 Jonas Pearson '25
Birmingham Public Schools	Varsity	10	10	8	7	4	3	8	9	5	9	73	Michael Mullins '23 Marko Nedeljkovic '24
Grosse Pointe North High School	Norsemen	12	11	11	12	11	8	10	DNF	DNF	11	112	Gualdoni Sofia '25 Kate Bania '24
University Liggett School	Varsity	11	12	12	11	12	11	12	11	11	12	115	Kathryn Turner '25 [1-3, 8-10] Mia Pyenta '24 [4-7] Hallo Albrecht '25 [1-3, 8-10]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Holland Christian High School	Maroon	6	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	7	21	Amelia Traver '24 Lily Johnson '23
Cranbrook Kingswood	Blue	3	4	8	5	8	2	4	10	2	2	48	Aaron Wang '25 Walter Miller '23
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Cubs	1	10	5	8	4	7	2	9	3	1	50	Gabe Morreale '24 Quinn Elliott '26
West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	2	8	4	9	3	5	3	8	4	4	50	Liam Gilin '25 [1, 3-4, 10] Brent Armstrong '25 [2, 5-9] Alex Wszolek '25 [1-9] Brent Armstrong '25 [10]
Troy High School	Varsity	5	5	3	3	6	4	5	6	8	8	53	Dane Greenwood '23 [1-10] Sophia Worden '23 [1-7, 10] Bella Satterfield '24 [8-9]
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	4	6	9	6	5	3	6	3	7	5	54	Eric Brieden '24 [1-3, 6-7, 10] Jack Riley '26 [4-5, 8-9] Charlie Gmeiner '23 [1-3, 6-7, 10] Peter Horst '26 [4-5, 8-9]
Birmingham Public Schools	Varsity	8	2	2	2	10	9	10	4	6	10	63	Sean Ellison '25 Nate Bacheller '24
East Lansing High School	East Lansing HS	11	7	10	11	2	6	7	2	10	9	75	Michael Kovalchik '23 [1-10] Allison Treanor '26 [1-2] William Quick-Severin '26 [3-10]
Black River Public School	Varsity	7	9	11	7	9	10	9	7	9	3	81	Kiarra Bracelly '25 Ruby Muehlenz '25
Detroit Country Day School	Varsity	10	3	6	4	7	8	8	11	RAF	11	81	Aarush Kapur '25 [1, 9-10] Miles Laker '23 [2-8] Andrew Wiand '25 [1] Aarush Kapur '25 [2-7] Bryan Lu '25 [8-10]
Grosse Pointe North High School	Norsemen	12	11	7	10	11	11	12	5	5	6	90	George Prokop '24 Zoey Crossley '23
University Liggett School	Varsity	9	12	12	12	12	12	11	12	11	RAF	116	Anabell Klaasen '26 [1-10] Mia Pyenta '24 [1] Allie Roth '24 [2-10]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
Birmingham Public Schools Varsity	21	23	23	13	13	15	15	17	17	19
Black River Public School Varsity	13	15	15	17	17	19	19	21	21	23
Cranbrook Kingswood Blue	14	16	16	18	18	20	20	22	22	24
Detroit Country Day School Varsity	15	17	17	19	19	21	21	23	23	13
East Lansing High School East Lansing HS	16	18	18	20	20	22	22	24	24	14
Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen	17	19	19	21	21	23	23	13	13	15
Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils	18	20	20	22	22	24	24	14	14	16
Holland Christian High School Maroon	19	21	21	23	23	13	13	15	15	17
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs	20	22	22	24	24	14	14	16	16	18
Troy High School Varsity	22	24	24	14	14	16	16	18	18	20
University Liggett School Varsity	23	13	13	15	15	17	17	19	19	21
West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity	24	14	14	16	16	18	18	20	20	22

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B
Birmingham Public Schools Varsity	22	24	24	14	14	16	16	18	18	20
Black River Public School Varsity	14	16	16	18	18	20	20	22	22	24
Cranbrook Kingswood Blue	15	17	17	19	19	21	21	23	23	13
Detroit Country Day School Varsity	16	18	18	20	20	22	22	24	24	14
East Lansing High School East Lansing HS	17	19	19	21	21	23	23	13	13	15
Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen	18	20	20	22	22	24	24	14	14	16
Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils	19	21	21	23	23	13	13	15	15	17
Holland Christian High School Maroon	20	22	22	24	24	14	14	16	16	18
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs	21	23	23	13	13	15	15	17	17	19
Troy High School Varsity	23	13	13	15	15	17	17	19	19	21
University Liggett School Varsity	24	14	14	16	16	18	18	20	20	22
West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity	13	15	15	17	17	19	19	21	21	23

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Birmingham Public Schools	Michael Mullins '23	Marko Nedeljkovic '24
Varsity	Sean Ellison '25	Nate Bacheller '24
Black River Public School	Lj Nykamp '25	Jonas Pearson '25
Varsity	Kiarra Bracelly '25	Ruby Muehlenz '25
Cranbrook Kingswood	Charlie Gonzalez '23	Jack Harman '23
Blue	Aaron Wang '25	Walter Miller '23
Detroit Country Day School	Liam Hounsell '23 [1-9] Andrew Wiand '25 [10]	Miles Laker '23 [1-3] Andrew Wiand '25 [4-9] Liam Hounsell '23 [10]
Varsity	Aarush Kapur '25 [1, 9-10] Miles Laker '23 [2-8]	Andrew Wiand '25 [1] Aarush Kapur '25 [2-7] Bryan Lu '25 [8-10]
East Lansing High School	Michael Cyrul '24	Clayton Debruyn '26
East Lansing HS	Michael Kovalchik '23 [1-10]	Allison Treanor '26 [1-2] William Quick-Severin '26 [3-10]
Grosse Pointe North High School	Gualdoni Sofia '25	Kate Bania '24
Norsemen	George Prokop '24	Zoey Crossley '23
Grosse Pointe South High School	Gavin Webster '24	Colin Hexter '23
Blue Devils	Eric Brieden '24 [1-3, 6-7, 10] Jack Riley '26 [4-5, 8-9]	Charlie Gmeiner '23 [1-3, 6-7, 10] Peter Horst '26 [4-5, 8-9]
Holland Christian High School	Greta Traver '23	Sophia Pierce '23
Maroon	Amelia Traver '24	Lily Johnson '23
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Graham Rebain '25 [1-10]	Maverick Killips '25 [1-2] Liam Dowling '24 [3-10]
Cubs	Gabe Morreale '24	Quinn Elliott '26
Troy High School	Rodrigo Flores '24	Clara Le Moal '24
Varsity	Dane Greenwood '23 [1-10]	Sophia Worden '23 [1-7, 10] Bella Satterfield '24 [8-9]
University Liggett School	Kathryn Turner '25 [1-3, 8-10] Mia Pyenta '24 [4-7]	Hallo Albrecht '25 [1-3, 8-10]
Varsity	Anabell Klaasen '26 [1-10]	Mia Pyenta '24 [1] Allie Roth '24 [2-10]
West Bloomfield High School	Vinny Paliga '24	Jack Armstrong '25
Lakers Varsity	Liam Gilin '25 [1, 3-4, 10] Brent Armstrong '25 [2, 5-9]	Alex Wszolek '25 [1-9] Brent Armstrong '25 [10]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Mallory Pre Qualifier East Michigan

Division A

Division B

From the notes