2023-24 PCISA SoCal 4 Silver

HostAlamitos Bay Yacht Club
Date01/27/2024
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#		School	Team	A	TOT
1	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons 1	31	31
2		Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	38	38
3		San Pedro High School	Pirates	39	39
4		St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 1	56	56
5		Parker	Parker	67	67
6		Blue and Gold	Varsity	99	99
7		Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	99	99
8		Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	102	102
9		Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 1	102	102
10	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons 2	110	110
11		Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	129	129
12		El Segundo High School	El Segundo	136	136
13		Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 2	136	136
14		JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 1	153	153
15		JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 2	159	159
16		Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays	160	160
17		Bishop Montgomery High School	Bishop Montgomery	162	162
18		Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	176	176
19		Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	184	184
20		St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 2	203	203

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	TOT	Sailors
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons 1	5	1	7	2	4	1	2	1	3	4	1	31	Jessica Green '25 Elizabeth Nash '28
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	2	2	1	1	8	4	1	5	1	8	5	38	Indigo Craig '25 Maeve Mcgovern '26
	San Pedro High School	Pirates	1	3	5	10	1	2	5	6	2	1	3	39	Iliana Hernandez '27 Niko Seiple '27
	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 1	10	4	3	5	12	5	3	3	7	2	2	56	Samuel Mohinani '24 Kaya Gagnon '27
	Parker	Parker	7	11	17	3	7	3	4	2	4	3	6	67	Fia Cattaneo '27 [1-6] Mitchell Janes '26 [7-11] Evelyn Luo '27 [1-6] Fia Cattaneo '27 [7-11]
	Blue and Gold	Varsity	3	9	11	14	17	9	8	9	10	5	4	99	Ava Reas '26 Amy Vanderwaart '26
	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	13	7	4	6	3	7	12	14	8	16	9	99	Parker Johnson '24 Truman Schroeder '28
	Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	4	10	16	4	13	6	16	7	9	6	11	102	Kayla Spalding '24 Alden Snyder '27
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 1	8	12	12	7	6	13	7	13	5	11	8	102	Julia Musial '26 Lada Nosar '26
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons 2	15	15	13	17	9	11	6	4	6	7	7	110	Eric Panebianco '28 Elijah Soussan '26
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	9	13	15	9	5	10	10	17	17	10	14	129	Leland Howard '26 Westley Johnson '26
	El Segundo High School	El Segundo	12	14	6	8	11	12	15	11	15	15	17	136	Tate Vincent '27 Katherine Akens '24
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 2	14	6	10	15	16	8	13	15	12	14	13	136	Chau Vanderlaske '24 No Show
	JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 1	11	17	14	16	18	15	14	10	13	9	16	153	Aiden Bird '24 Emma Graesser '24
	JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 2	17	19	18	18	14	17	11	8	14	13	10	159	Kaden Brown '26 Colin Obyrne '27
	Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays	18	5	2	12	2	16	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNF	160	Benjamin Winn '25 Caleb Winn '26
	Bishop Montgomery High School	Bishop Montgomery	6	8	8	11	10	14	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNF	162	Robert Mccloskey '28 [1-6] No Show [7-11] Yuna Hochedez '24 [1-6]
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	19	18	DNF	19	DNF	18	9	16	11	12	12	176	Natalie Jalaie '25 Julia Biderman '23
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	16	16	9	13	15	19	18	18	18	DNF	DNF	184	Spencer Matorin '27 Kylie Lai '25
	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 2	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	17	12	16	17	15	203	Michael Beaird '25 Brookes Vogt '28

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.110+0.11

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A
	Bishop Montgomery High School Bishop Montgomery	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34
	Coastal Academy High School Stingrays	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80
	El Segundo High School El Segundo	40	40	40	40	40	40	40	40	40	40	40
	Parker Parker	66	66	66	66	66	66	66	66	66	66	66
	Blue and Gold Varsity	55	55	55	55	55	55	55	55	55	55	55
	JSerra Catholic High School Lions 1	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43
	JSerra Catholic High School Lions 2	522	522	522	522	522	522	522	522	522	522	522
	Mira Costa High School Mustangs	44	44	44	44	44	44	44	44	44	44	44
	Mission Bay High School Buccaneer	500	500	500	500	500	500	500	500	500	500	500
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	35	35	35	35	35	35	35	35	35	35	35
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 1	50	50	50	50	50	50	50	50	50	50	50
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 2	33	33	33	33	33	33	33	33	33	33	33
	Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30
	San Pedro High School Pirates	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons 1	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons 2	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90
	St. John Bosco High School St. John Bosco 1	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31
	St. John Bosco High School St. John Bosco 2	400	400	400	400	400	400	400	400	400	400	400
	Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45
	Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2	54	54	54	54	54	54	54	54	54	54	54

	School	Team	Skipper	Crew
	Bishop Montgomery High School	Bishop Montgomery	Robert Mccloskey '28 [1-6] No Show [7-11]	Yuna Hochedez '24 [1-6]
	Blue and Gold	Varsity	Ava Reas '26	Amy Vanderwaart '26
	Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays	Benjamin Winn '25	Caleb Winn '26
	El Segundo High School	El Segundo	Tate Vincent '27	Katherine Akens '24
	JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 1	Aiden Bird '24	Emma Graesser '24
	JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 2	Kaden Brown '26	Colin Obyrne '27
	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	Parker Johnson '24	Truman Schroeder '28
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	Indigo Craig '25	Maeve Mcgovern '26
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	Leland Howard '26	Westley Johnson '26
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 1	Julia Musial '26	Lada Nosar '26
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 2	Chau Vanderlaske '24	No Show
	Parker	Parker	Fia Cattaneo '27 [1-6] Mitchell Janes '26 [7-11]	Evelyn Luo '27 [1-6] Fia Cattaneo '27 [7-11]
	Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	Kayla Spalding '24	Alden Snyder '27
	San Pedro High School	Pirates	Iliana Hernandez '27	Niko Seiple '27
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons 1	Jessica Green '25	Elizabeth Nash '28
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons 2	Eric Panebianco '28	Elijah Soussan '26
	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 1	Samuel Mohinani '24	Kaya Gagnon '27
	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco 2	Michael Beaird '25	Brookes Vogt '28
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	Natalie Jalaie '25	Julia Biderman '23
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	Spencer Matorin '27	Kylie Lai '25

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2023-24 PCISA SoCal 4 Silver

Division A

From the notes