Merc Silver - 2024 Zimba MBL Championship

HostCBI
Date05/22/2024
TypeLeague Championship
BoatC420
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Boston Latin School	Wolfpack	31	31
2	Hingham High School	Harborwomen	33	33
3	Sharon High School	Eagles	56	56
4	Winchester High School	Varsity	70	70
5	BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols	Knights	77	77
6	Duxbury High School	Dragons	82	82
7	Unregistered-NESSA	MBL 3	94	94
8	Wellesley High School	Varsity	110	110
9	Unregistered-NESSA	MBL 2	110	110
10	Brookline High	Warriors	114	114
11	Quincy High School	Presidents	115	115
12	Natick High School	Redhawks	120	120
13	Belmont Hill School	Varsity	124	124
14	Cambridge R&L School	Falcons	138	138
15	Beaver Country Day School	Beavers	141	141
16	The Winsor School	Winsor Wildcats	146	146
17	Commonwealth School	Mermaids	209	209
18	Unregistered-NESSA	MBL 1	209	209

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	TOT	Sailors
Boston Latin School	Wolfpack	2	1	1	3	RDG	13	3	1	2	1	1	31	Owen Peterson '24 [1-11] Ayden Soderblom '25 [1-5] Mary Lee '25 [6-11]
Hingham High School	Harborwomen	4	3	2	4	2	2	1	3	4	2	6	33	Audrey Smith '26 Logan De Laar '26
Sharon High School	Eagles	1	6	7	1	1	14	4	6	11	3	2	56	Arthur Do '25 [1-5] Chloe Chung '25 [6-11] Henry Comeau '25 [1-5] Susanna Bie '25 [6-11]
Winchester High School	Varsity	DNF	5	12	6	5	1	9	4	1	4	4	70	Ashton Marnik '26 Sean '27
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols	Knights	6	2	6	5	3	10	8	9	7	7	14	77	Laith Diori '25 [1-10] Kate Adams '24 [11] Spiros Gerogiannis '24 [1-10] Diba Demir '25 [11]
Duxbury High School	Dragons	10	10	8	2	8	15	5	2	9	6	7	82	Olivia Gleason '26 Clara Destenaves '27
Unregistered-NESSA	MBL 3	3	8	DNF	DNS	6	3	2	7	6	12	9	94	No Show No Show
Wellesley High School	Varsity	7	13	11	12	DNS	8	7	8	5	15	5	110	Sophie Balter '24 [1-5] Oliver Kilgore '24 [6-11] Nate Blackett '24 [1-5] Leah Hamm '24 [6-11]
Unregistered-NESSA	MBL 2	9	11	10	13	13	6	6	13	8	13	8	110	No Show No Show
Brookline High	Warriors	8	7	13	9	9	9	12	15	14	8	10	114	Hanna Kim '27 [1-5] Simon Gil '27 [6-11] Safiya Chander '27 [1-5] Ryan Beach '26 [6-11]
Quincy High School	Presidents	11	9	5	10	10	4	13	14	10	14	15	115	Frank Townsend '25 Katherine Manning '27
Natick High School	Redhawks	12	12	4	7	12	12	15	12	12	10	12	120	Theo Topaloff '24 [1-10] Matt Tracy '24 [11] Oliver Zawadzki '25 [1-10] Kathryn Dubois '27 [11]
Belmont Hill School	Varsity	13	14	9	11	7	11	10	10	15	11	13	124	No Show No Show
Cambridge R&L School	Falcons	5	4	3	8	4	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	138	No Show No Show
Beaver Country Day School	Beavers	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	5	11	5	13	9	3	141	Lucas Werning '27 Ruby Nielsen '27
The Winsor School	Winsor Wildcats	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	7	14	11	3	5	11	146	Caroline Wellington '28 [1-5] Emma Ortner '29 [6-11] Rachel Krause-Grosman '26 [1-5] Alisa Ross '26 [6-11]
Commonwealth School	Mermaids	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	209	No Show No Show
Unregistered-NESSA	MBL 1	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	209	No Show No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80
Beaver Country Day School Beavers	81	81	81	81	81	81	81	81	81	81	81
Belmont Hill School Varsity	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82
Boston Latin School Wolfpack	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83
Brookline High Warriors	84	84	84	84	84	84	84	84	84	84	84
Cambridge R&L School Falcons	85	85	85	85	85	85	85	85	85	85	85
Commonwealth School Mermaids	86	86	86	86	86	86	86	86	86	86	86
Duxbury High School Dragons	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	87
Hingham High School Harborwomen	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	88
Natick High School Redhawks	89	89	89	89	89	89	89	89	89	89	89
Quincy High School Presidents	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90
Sharon High School Eagles	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91
The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats	92	92	92	92	92	92	92	92	92	92	92
Unregistered-NESSA MBL 1	999	999	999	999	999	999	999	999	999	999	999
Unregistered-NESSA MBL 2	93	93	93	93	93	93	93	93	93	93	93
Unregistered-NESSA MBL 3	94	94	94	94	94	94	94	94	94	94	94
Wellesley High School Varsity	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95
Winchester High School Varsity	96	96	96	96	96	96	96	96	96	96	96

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols	Knights	Laith Diori '25 [1-10] Kate Adams '24 [11]	Spiros Gerogiannis '24 [1-10] Diba Demir '25 [11]
Beaver Country Day School	Beavers	Lucas Werning '27	Ruby Nielsen '27
Belmont Hill School	Varsity	No Show	No Show
Boston Latin School	Wolfpack	Owen Peterson '24 [1-11]	Ayden Soderblom '25 [1-5] Mary Lee '25 [6-11]
Brookline High	Warriors	Hanna Kim '27 [1-5] Simon Gil '27 [6-11]	Safiya Chander '27 [1-5] Ryan Beach '26 [6-11]
Cambridge R&L School	Falcons	No Show	No Show
Commonwealth School	Mermaids	No Show	No Show
Duxbury High School	Dragons	Olivia Gleason '26	Clara Destenaves '27
Hingham High School	Harborwomen	Audrey Smith '26	Logan De Laar '26
Natick High School	Redhawks	Theo Topaloff '24 [1-10] Matt Tracy '24 [11]	Oliver Zawadzki '25 [1-10] Kathryn Dubois '27 [11]
Quincy High School	Presidents	Frank Townsend '25	Katherine Manning '27
Sharon High School	Eagles	Arthur Do '25 [1-5] Chloe Chung '25 [6-11]	Henry Comeau '25 [1-5] Susanna Bie '25 [6-11]
The Winsor School	Winsor Wildcats	Caroline Wellington '28 [1-5] Emma Ortner '29 [6-11]	Rachel Krause-Grosman '26 [1-5] Alisa Ross '26 [6-11]
Unregistered-NESSA	MBL 1	No Show	No Show
Unregistered-NESSA	MBL 2	No Show	No Show
Unregistered-NESSA	MBL 3	No Show	No Show
Wellesley High School	Varsity	Sophie Balter '24 [1-5] Oliver Kilgore '24 [6-11]	Nate Blackett '24 [1-5] Leah Hamm '24 [6-11]
Winchester High School	Varsity	Ashton Marnik '26	Sean '27

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Merc Silver - 2024 Zimba MBL Championship

Division A

From the notes