Ransom Everglades School '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.65 (fleet 2.53) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.08 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 12–7 (63%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 12–7 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (19 matches) the record is 12–7 against 8.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+3.8). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | ISSA Team Race Championship for the Baker Trophy | skipper | 1.90 | 2.78 | 5–7 | 3.4 | +0.88 | 0.8 | 22% |
| 2026-04-18 | SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | skipper | 1.81 | 4.81 | 7–0 | 4.8 | ≥+3.00 | 3.6 | 6% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA SP #5 JV | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.5 | 2.47 |
| SAISA South Points 7 - Varsity | Skipper | B | 2 | 3.0 | 3.65 |
| SAISA Doublehanded Championship/Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | B | 2 | 7.0 | 2.23 |
| SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 17 | 82% | — |
| ISSA Team Race Championship for the Baker Trophy | Skipper | TR | 19 | 58% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA SP 2 JV | Skipper | A | 5 | 3.4 | 2.83 |
| SAISA South Points #1 JV 2025-26 | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.0 | 2.54 |
| SAISA South Points #3 - JV | Skipper | A | 6 | 2.2 | 3.81 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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