St. George's School '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.74 (fleet 2.71) | 68 of 231 | +0.06 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 32–7 (82%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 32–7 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (39 matches) the record is 32–7 against 27.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+4.1). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 8 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | ISSA Team Race Championship for the Baker Trophy | skipper | 2.06 | 1.80 | 12–7 | 12.7 | −0.26 | 0.1 | 75% |
| 2026-05-02 | 2026 NESSA Team Racing Champs (Presidents Trophy) | skipper | 1.69 | 4.69 | 20–0 | 15.2 | ≥+3.00 | 7.6 | <1% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| 2026 NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Bristol, RI | Skipper | B | 3 | 1.3 | 4.38 |
| ISSA Team Race Championship for the Baker Trophy | Skipper | TR | 19 | 63% | — |
| 2026 NESSA Team Racing Champs (Presidents Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 20 | 100% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Roy Williams Invitational | Skipper | B | 6 | 3.0 | 3.19 |
| ISSA 2025 Atlantic Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 4 | 9.5 | 2.47 |
| Fall FunFest | Skipper | A | 3 | 5.7 | 2.39 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| ISSA Fleet Nationals (Mallory Trophy) | Skipper | B | 2 | 14.5 | 1.49 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Fall FunFest (Gleekman Trophy) | Skipper | B | 7 | 4.4 | 2.62 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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