Liam Casey

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Keelboat0.25unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active)1Spring 2025

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
0.38 (fleet 0.60) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.01 ± 0.17
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 9–19 (32%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 202616–8—
Spring 202523–11—
0.20.30.40.5Spring 2025Spring 2026NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) (2025-05-03): rating 0.44, fleet rating alone 0.40, offset +0.05; record 0-2 in this boatNESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) (2025-05-03): rating 0.44, fleet rating alone 0.40, offset +0.05; record 0-5 in this boatNESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) (2025-05-03): rating 0.44, fleet rating alone 0.40, offset +0.05; record 1-1 in this boat2026 NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) (2026-05-02): rating 0.34, fleet rating alone 0.37, offset -0.03; record 6-8 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 3 graded regattas (28 matches) the record is 9–19 against 9.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.3). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 12 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2026-05-022026 NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy)skipper0.491.836–83.3+1.342.27%
2025-05-03NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy)skipper0.54-3.151–85.5−3.688.0>99%
2025-04-30FCSL 2025 Gold Cupskipper0.542.762–30.6+2.232.010%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2026 Team page Season
2026 NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Bristol, RI Skipper B 3 5.7 0.89
2026 NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) Skipper TR 14 43% —
Spring 2025 Team page Season
NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) Skipper TR 9 11% —
FCSL 2025 Gold Cup Skipper TR 5 40% —
2025 FCSL Match Racing Championship Keelboat Skipper A 1 3.0 —

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →

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