Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cole Schweda 20.1% 19.7% 17.3% 12.2% 11.5% 7.6% 5.5% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kamron Kaiser 4.9% 5.3% 5.6% 6.6% 7.9% 8.2% 9.8% 10.2% 10.2% 10.8% 10.2% 8.1% 2.2%
Ghislaine van Empel 9.7% 9.8% 11.2% 12.4% 10.1% 11.3% 9.4% 9.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Jack Adderley 4.1% 4.3% 4.7% 5.8% 5.7% 7.4% 8.8% 10.1% 10.9% 12.0% 13.0% 10.1% 3.2%
Dawson Kohl 6.2% 7.5% 7.8% 8.8% 9.0% 9.3% 9.3% 10.4% 10.3% 9.2% 6.8% 3.9% 1.2%
William Stratton 6.1% 7.4% 6.2% 8.5% 8.8% 10.2% 10.9% 10.2% 9.7% 8.8% 7.8% 4.0% 1.2%
Noah Scholtz 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 4.1% 4.6% 5.0% 6.0% 6.5% 9.3% 10.9% 13.7% 21.3% 9.8%
Hank Seum 21.1% 17.8% 16.2% 13.9% 11.3% 8.3% 5.0% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Miller 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 3.9% 5.2% 5.7% 7.3% 7.6% 11.5% 14.6% 21.6% 10.3%
Reese Ambrose 5.6% 5.1% 6.0% 6.2% 8.3% 8.6% 9.7% 10.3% 9.8% 10.6% 10.5% 7.0% 2.4%
Fiona Froelich 12.3% 11.9% 13.1% 11.5% 10.8% 9.7% 9.9% 7.9% 5.8% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Blake March 4.0% 4.7% 5.2% 6.0% 6.7% 8.0% 8.6% 9.8% 11.7% 11.9% 11.5% 9.7% 2.2%
Jay Hay 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 1.1% 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 6.4% 12.1% 66.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.