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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+3.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.99+3.97vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+0.92vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.64-1.32vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.40+4.56vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.01+2.27vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-0.56vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.07-4.42vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.02+1.52vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis1.68-3.33vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.71-2.17vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.19-1.71vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.19-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.1%1st Place
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3.92Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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2.68Stanford University3.640.3%1st Place
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9.56California Poly Maritime Academy0.400.0%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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6.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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3.58Stanford University3.070.2%1st Place
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10.52California State University Monterey Bay0.020.0%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Davis1.680.1%1st Place
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8.83California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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10.29California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Pedrick | 14.8% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Cowley | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 14.0% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stemler | 30.2% | 23.7% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Davis | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 13.8% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Maher | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Riihiluoma | 17.9% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Fournier | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 29.7% |
| Ryan Lee | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.2% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 22.7% |
| Kenton Stutz | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.