Race 9B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Abby Featherstone 9.1% 10.5% 11.8% 12.3% 12.1% 11.7% 11.0% 9.4% 7.9% 3.6% 0.6%
Sara Morgan Watters 28.4% 20.1% 15.4% 13.4% 8.6% 5.8% 5.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Morgan Wilson 10.2% 12.6% 12.0% 12.5% 11.9% 10.7% 10.6% 8.9% 6.6% 3.4% 0.6%
Emilie Mademann 6.6% 7.3% 7.9% 8.0% 10.3% 11.7% 11.9% 11.8% 12.6% 9.0% 2.9%
Corey Hall 10.5% 10.2% 12.7% 10.4% 11.5% 10.0% 10.6% 10.5% 7.8% 4.7% 1.1%
Emily Billing 10.8% 12.4% 11.1% 12.1% 11.3% 9.7% 9.0% 10.8% 7.4% 4.5% 0.9%
Mary Cummins 3.7% 3.7% 3.1% 4.6% 5.8% 5.9% 8.2% 7.6% 14.0% 30.3% 13.1%
Kathryn Metscher 7.3% 8.3% 8.5% 10.8% 10.0% 11.2% 9.4% 10.1% 12.1% 9.7% 2.6%
Lauren Burke 6.7% 7.3% 8.3% 8.0% 7.7% 10.8% 10.8% 14.2% 12.0% 10.6% 3.6%
Francesca Ferrero 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.5% 4.4% 12.8% 71.1%
Sara Burke 5.9% 7.2% 8.5% 6.8% 9.2% 10.3% 10.9% 12.2% 14.3% 11.2% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.