← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+6.41vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.67+4.72vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.39+4.90vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+4.41vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.79+1.42vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.92+3.84vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.50+0.58vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.50-0.67vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.23-0.58vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.86+0.04vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.02-1.63vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.74-1.62vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston3.22-4.47vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University3.48-6.65vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-5.26vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.73-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.72Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
7.9Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
6.42Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
9.84Connecticut College2.920.0%1st Place
-
7.58Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.33Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.42Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
10.04University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
9.37University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
10.38Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
8.53College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
-
7.35Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
-
10.55Bowdoin College2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Wallace | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 15.2% |
| Corey Hall | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.