Race 5B

saisa-women-fleet-racing-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kalea Woodard 18.2% 19.2% 16.9% 14.5% 13.1% 9.8% 5.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Alfortish 31.2% 21.7% 17.8% 13.9% 7.7% 4.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lyla Solway 7.5% 10.2% 10.6% 13.2% 13.1% 14.9% 13.3% 10.2% 5.7% 1.3% 0.1%
Kaitlyn Liebel 12.7% 14.9% 15.1% 14.9% 14.4% 12.3% 9.3% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Julia Scott 6.3% 7.0% 8.5% 10.3% 13.0% 12.8% 17.8% 13.1% 8.2% 2.8% 0.4%
Ashton Loring 14.8% 14.2% 15.8% 15.6% 14.2% 12.0% 7.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Emma Gumny 2.9% 4.6% 4.9% 5.5% 8.7% 10.8% 14.1% 21.2% 18.0% 7.5% 1.8%
Daniella Woodbridge 3.1% 4.2% 5.9% 7.1% 7.1% 12.2% 14.3% 19.1% 17.8% 7.5% 1.6%
Ashley Flanagan 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 1.4% 1.0% 1.6% 3.9% 8.2% 22.4% 59.7%
Olivia Figley 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 6.8% 11.5% 38.4% 31.1%
Ava Moring 2.1% 2.4% 3.4% 3.0% 5.2% 6.6% 10.3% 15.0% 27.3% 19.4% 5.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.