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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+10.04vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.90+7.63vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+4.39vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.41+2.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+0.10vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.20-1.09vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+3.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.14+3.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.91+1.09vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.43+2.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.35+0.82vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.75-2.97vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.92-3.02vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.93+0.20vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.88-5.52vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.21-4.96vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.40-9.40vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.18-2.73vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.65-5.99vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.21-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32California Poly Maritime Academy1.3125.4%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Los Angeles-1.032.4%1st Place
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5.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8314.2%1st Place
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11.63University of California at San Diego-0.903.2%1st Place
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9.39Arizona State University-0.394.5%1st Place
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8.98Arizona State University-0.414.7%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.108.2%1st Place
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6.91University of Southern California0.208.2%1st Place
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12.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.3%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Davis-1.142.2%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Davis-0.912.6%1st Place
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14.37University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.5%1st Place
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13.82University of California at San Diego-1.351.7%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Berkeley-0.753.0%1st Place
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11.98University of California at Los Angeles-0.922.5%1st Place
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16.2University of California at San Diego-1.931.5%1st Place
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11.48University of California at Berkeley-0.882.9%1st Place
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13.04Arizona State University-1.212.6%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Berkeley-0.404.2%1st Place
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17.27University of California at San Diego-2.180.8%1st Place
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15.01San Diego State University-1.651.0%1st Place
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17.4University of California at San Diego-2.210.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 25.4% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Zemke | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McKinley | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Kamille Romero | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Frank Hobson | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 14.6% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| William Bailly | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Aivan Durfee | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Cassidy Murray | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 25.6% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.