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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+9.46vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+5.75vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+6.04vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+3.84vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.91+5.48vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.55vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35+1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99+1.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.44vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-1.25vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.11+3.17vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-1.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.81vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.13+0.07vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.43-2.30vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-5.06vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.20-8.03vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.28-9.05vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-8.08vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin1.92-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.46Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.04Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.84Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.48Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.76Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.75University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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14.17Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.0Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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14.07University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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12.7Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.94Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.95Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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15.04University of Wisconsin1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 18.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Mary Hall | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alison Kent | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 17.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% |
| Sky Adams | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Whitney Kent | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.