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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+5.67vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+8.09vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90+3.42vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.66+3.58vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.12+4.98vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.99-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.35+1.93vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.21+0.30vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53-1.48vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.22-1.63vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.21vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.25-0.34vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-1.83vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-3.66vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.68vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.27-0.76vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.58-3.12vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-1.10vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-3.23vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-4.96vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.46-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67University of California at Los Angeles1.489.4%1st Place
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10.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.2%1st Place
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4.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.7818.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Southern California0.907.9%1st Place
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8.58Arizona State University0.665.3%1st Place
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10.98University of Hawaii0.124.0%1st Place
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4.51California Poly Maritime Academy1.9916.2%1st Place
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9.93University of California at Berkeley0.354.4%1st Place
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9.78University of California at Los Angeles0.434.5%1st Place
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10.3University of Southern California0.213.6%1st Place
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9.52San Diego State University0.534.8%1st Place
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10.37University of California at San Diego0.223.8%1st Place
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12.79University of California at San Diego-0.332.5%1st Place
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13.66University of California at Berkeley-0.251.8%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.401.8%1st Place
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12.34University of California at Santa Cruz-0.172.1%1st Place
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16.32University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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17.24San Diego State University-1.270.8%1st Place
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15.88University of California at Davis-0.581.2%1st Place
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18.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.7%1st Place
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17.77University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.7%1st Place
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17.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.7%1st Place
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18.45University of California at San Diego-1.460.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 18.1% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brock Paquin | 16.2% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| karl zoghbi | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 27.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 14.6% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.