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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+3.68vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.72+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.25+3.40vs Predicted
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5-0.33+2.65vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.62+2.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.41+4.91vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93+6.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+1.13vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.91-0.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.60+1.95vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.11-0.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-5.98vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California-1.45-1.71vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.11-0.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-1.05vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.09-6.18vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.15-2.94vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.41-6.86vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-2.96-2.32vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-3.08-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76California Poly Maritime Academy0.9121.6%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.309.2%1st Place
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4.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.7216.9%1st Place
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7.4University of California at Berkeley-0.257.2%1st Place
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7.65-0.336.2%1st Place
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8.9Arizona State University-0.624.8%1st Place
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11.91University of California at Davis-1.412.6%1st Place
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14.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.931.4%1st Place
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10.13University of California at Los Angeles-0.963.6%1st Place
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9.98Arizona State University-0.913.8%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.9%1st Place
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11.09University of California at San Diego-1.112.8%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Santa Cruz-0.177.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Southern California-1.452.2%1st Place
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14.96Arizona State University-2.110.8%1st Place
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14.95University of California at Los Angeles-2.101.1%1st Place
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10.82San Diego State University-1.092.8%1st Place
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15.06University of California at Davis-2.151.1%1st Place
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12.14University of California at San Diego-1.411.7%1st Place
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17.68University of California at Los Angeles-2.960.8%1st Place
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18.01University of California at San Diego-3.080.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Skewes | 21.6% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 9.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Milne | 16.9% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Wu | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 4.2% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Gallagher | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Dante Massaro | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hoole | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Adeline Spencer | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Bryson Dort | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Fadia Nitrosso | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 19.5% | 30.7% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.