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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.78vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.87+8.75vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.35+5.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.99vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+3.78vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+4.59vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+3.48vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.43+4.57vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-1.35vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-1.19vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-3.10vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-0.76vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.91-2.13vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.28-5.21vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.57vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.92-1.11vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-6.77vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota2.13-3.84vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston3.20-9.79vs Predicted
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20Fordham University2.11-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.75Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.63Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.78Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.59Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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12.57Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.81University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.9Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.24Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.87Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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8.79Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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12.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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14.89University of Wisconsin1.920.0%1st Place
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10.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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14.16University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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9.21College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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14.25Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 11.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Haley Powell | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Whitney Kent | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 25.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Alison Kent | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 16.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.