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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+7.45vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.43+10.79vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.03vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+3.72vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.73vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+3.24vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91+3.86vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.13+5.93vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.28-0.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.56vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-0.31vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.50-3.98vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.21vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.92+0.86vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.87-4.30vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.29-7.27vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.11-2.95vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-7.79vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.27-10.22vs Predicted
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20Brown University2.82-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.79Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.24College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.86Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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8.74Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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12.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.69Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.02Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Wisconsin1.920.0%1st Place
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10.7Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.73University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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14.05Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.78Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.14Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Alison Kent | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% |
| Haley Powell | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Whitney Kent | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 22.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 16.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.