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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California-1.45+11.36vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.25+5.31vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+0.87vs Predicted
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4-0.33+3.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+5.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-0.42vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.72-2.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.11+3.03vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.62-0.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.41+2.00vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-3.86vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93+2.33vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.91-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-1.12vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.15+0.12vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.11-1.17vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.09-6.31vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.41-5.97vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-4.05vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-2.96-2.14vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-3.08-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.36University of Southern California-1.452.4%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Berkeley-0.257.5%1st Place
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3.87California Poly Maritime Academy0.9120.0%1st Place
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7.76-0.336.2%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Los Angeles-0.963.2%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.3011.7%1st Place
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4.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.7217.6%1st Place
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11.03University of California at San Diego-1.111.9%1st Place
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8.82Arizona State University-0.625.1%1st Place
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12.0University of California at Davis-1.411.8%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.177.8%1st Place
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14.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.931.1%1st Place
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9.88Arizona State University-0.913.2%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.8%1st Place
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15.12University of California at Davis-2.150.9%1st Place
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14.83Arizona State University-2.111.1%1st Place
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10.69San Diego State University-1.093.1%1st Place
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12.03University of California at San Diego-1.412.0%1st Place
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14.95University of California at Los Angeles-2.100.9%1st Place
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17.86University of California at Los Angeles-2.960.2%1st Place
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17.96University of California at San Diego-3.080.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hoole | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 20.0% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Wu | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Summer Drake | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Milne | 17.6% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Hirz | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 4.8% |
| Sean Kenealy | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Gallagher | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 7.6% |
| Hayden shaw | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.9% |
| Adeline Spencer | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 7.1% |
| Fadia Nitrosso | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 30.6% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 17.5% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.