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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.84vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.35+6.46vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+6.02vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+3.73vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+3.78vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.52vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.92+3.78vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.54vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.91-0.36vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.20-2.60vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.13+1.41vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.00vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.43-2.34vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-5.10vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.11-2.97vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-7.78vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University2.87-8.27vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin1.92-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.46Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.02Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.78Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.78Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.64Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.68University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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12.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.64Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.4College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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14.41University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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11.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.66Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.9Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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14.03Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.73Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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15.01University of Wisconsin1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% |
| Haley Powell | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Alison Kent | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 18.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 16.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Whitney Kent | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.