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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+7.82vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.43+10.84vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+5.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.81vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+2.81vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+4.23vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.92+3.81vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.18vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.35vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87+0.81vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.11+3.17vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-0.78vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.13+1.42vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-3.10vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.35-6.46vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-8.22vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.20-7.94vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.92-3.04vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-6.64vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College2.91-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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12.84Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.96Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.81Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.81Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.65University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.81Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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14.17Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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14.42University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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10.9Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.54Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.06College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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14.96University of Wisconsin1.920.0%1st Place
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12.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.66Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Mary Hall | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Haley Powell | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 16.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Alison Kent | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 18.6% |
| Sky Adams | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 15.9% | 22.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.