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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University0.53+8.90vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+5.40vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.60vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.22+4.45vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.95vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.12+3.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.35+0.75vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.21+0.42vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.66-2.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.43-2.13vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.58+2.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-0.94vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-2.89vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.33-3.15vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.53vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-1.04vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-1.27-1.78vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-0.25-6.51vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-3.27vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-2.98vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.46-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9San Diego State University0.534.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Southern California0.906.7%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Los Angeles1.4810.0%1st Place
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4.47California Poly Maritime Academy1.9917.2%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.7816.7%1st Place
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10.45University of California at San Diego0.224.2%1st Place
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9.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.9%1st Place
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11.11University of Hawaii0.123.6%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Berkeley0.354.8%1st Place
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10.42University of Southern California0.213.2%1st Place
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8.51Arizona State University0.666.0%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Los Angeles0.433.8%1st Place
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15.85University of California at Davis-0.581.1%1st Place
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13.06University of California at Santa Cruz-0.402.2%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.172.1%1st Place
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12.85University of California at San Diego-0.332.3%1st Place
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16.47University of California at San Diego-1.131.2%1st Place
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16.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.9%1st Place
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17.22San Diego State University-1.271.0%1st Place
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13.49University of California at Berkeley-0.251.8%1st Place
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17.73University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.8%1st Place
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19.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.6%1st Place
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18.36University of California at San Diego-1.460.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 17.2% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.7% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| karl zoghbi | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 16.6% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 27.4% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.