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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+9.95vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+5.76vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+6.03vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+6.15vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+4.14vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50+1.83vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.74vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.35+0.30vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.33vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.19vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-0.17vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.28-2.92vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.11vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.91-3.51vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.82-4.10vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.92-1.12vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.11-3.00vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.92-7.38vs Predicted
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19University of Minnesota2.13-4.99vs Predicted
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20Columbia University2.43-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.03Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.14College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.83Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.3Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.67University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.83Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.08Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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12.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.49Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.9Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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14.88University of Wisconsin1.920.0%1st Place
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14.0Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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14.01University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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12.92Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Mary Hall | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Whitney Kent | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 23.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.3% |
| Haley Powell | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Alison Kent | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 15.9% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.