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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+3.41vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+4.77vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.53+6.58vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.22+6.38vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.99-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.90+1.54vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.21+3.47vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.18vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.66-0.37vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.12+0.99vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+1.19vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.25+1.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.43-2.98vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.35-4.44vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+2.08vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-2.83vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.33-3.96vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.27-0.75vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.58-3.34vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.81vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-2.15vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-4.34vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.13-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.7818.8%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Los Angeles1.488.8%1st Place
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9.58San Diego State University0.534.8%1st Place
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10.38University of California at San Diego0.222.9%1st Place
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4.37California Poly Maritime Academy1.9917.5%1st Place
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7.54University of Southern California0.907.6%1st Place
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10.47University of Southern California0.213.9%1st Place
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10.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.4%1st Place
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8.63Arizona State University0.665.9%1st Place
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10.99University of Hawaii0.123.2%1st Place
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12.19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.173.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Berkeley-0.251.9%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Los Angeles0.434.3%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Berkeley0.355.0%1st Place
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17.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.0%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.401.8%1st Place
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13.04University of California at San Diego-0.331.6%1st Place
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17.25San Diego State University-1.270.9%1st Place
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15.66University of California at Davis-0.581.1%1st Place
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18.19University of California at San Diego-1.460.7%1st Place
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18.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.5%1st Place
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17.66University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.8%1st Place
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16.46University of California at San Diego-1.130.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 18.8% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brock Paquin | 17.5% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| karl zoghbi | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Enzo Cremers | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 12.2% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 20.2% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 25.9% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 14.8% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.