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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+7.38vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+8.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.92vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.11+10.22vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+4.18vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50+1.83vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27+2.20vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.80vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.91+1.41vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-2.24vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82+0.02vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-0.97vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.92-2.11vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.43-1.22vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.29-6.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.56vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.28-8.37vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-7.82vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.92-4.17vs Predicted
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20University of Minnesota2.13-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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14.22Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.18College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.83Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.2Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.41Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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11.02Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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12.78Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.81University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.63Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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14.83University of Wisconsin1.920.0%1st Place
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14.24University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Mary Hall | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 18.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Haley Powell | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 22.2% |
| Alison Kent | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.