← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+6.70vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.99+8.15vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+7.63vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University3.35+4.44vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.50+2.82vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.28+2.88vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.07vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.78vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.20+0.12vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.27-1.16vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida3.29-2.20vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.82-0.75vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin1.92+2.24vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University2.87-3.29vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College2.91-4.46vs Predicted
-
16University of Minnesota2.13-1.87vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University2.92-6.64vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University2.43-5.11vs Predicted
-
19Fordham University2.11-4.97vs Predicted
-
20U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-7.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
-
10.15University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
10.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.44Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.82Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.88Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
7.07U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.12College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.84Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
8.8University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
11.25Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
15.24University of Wisconsin1.920.0%1st Place
-
10.71Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
10.54Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
-
14.13University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
-
10.36Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
-
12.89Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
-
14.03Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
-
12.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McComb | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Mary Hall | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Whitney Kent | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 25.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Alison Kent | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 16.8% |
| Haley Powell | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 15.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.