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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+3.36vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+4.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.43+6.66vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.22+6.30vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.99-0.50vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.53+3.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.35+2.81vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+4.52vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.21+0.55vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.66-2.46vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.94vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.12-2.04vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80+4.87vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+2.11vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.25-2.46vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.27+0.37vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-5.84vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.58-3.41vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.13-3.36vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-3.19vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.46-3.79vs Predicted
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23University of Southern California0.90-15.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.7817.2%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Los Angeles1.488.6%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Los Angeles0.434.8%1st Place
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10.3University of California at San Diego0.224.3%1st Place
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4.5California Poly Maritime Academy1.9917.4%1st Place
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9.57San Diego State University0.535.0%1st Place
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9.81University of California at Berkeley0.354.5%1st Place
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9.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.0%1st Place
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13.52University of California at Santa Cruz-0.402.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Southern California0.213.8%1st Place
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8.54Arizona State University0.666.2%1st Place
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12.94University of California at San Diego-0.332.2%1st Place
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10.96University of Hawaii0.123.5%1st Place
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18.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.5%1st Place
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17.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.7%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Berkeley-0.251.8%1st Place
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17.37San Diego State University-1.271.1%1st Place
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12.16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.171.9%1st Place
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15.59University of California at Davis-0.581.5%1st Place
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16.64University of California at San Diego-1.131.1%1st Place
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17.81University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.7%1st Place
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18.21University of California at San Diego-1.460.7%1st Place
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7.35University of Southern California0.906.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.2% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brock Paquin | 17.4% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 27.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% |
| karl zoghbi | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 7.2% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 16.3% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 18.3% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.