← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.23+7.36vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.50+5.38vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+5.27vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.79+2.50vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.92+4.79vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.50+1.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island3.02+2.41vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-0.60vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.22-0.53vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-0.24vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.39-3.12vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.67-5.12vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.48-5.51vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.86-4.21vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College2.73-4.42vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.74-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.36Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
-
7.38Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
6.5Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
9.79Connecticut College2.920.0%1st Place
-
7.54Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
-
9.41University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
7.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.47College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
-
9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
-
7.88Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
6.88Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
7.49Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.79University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
10.58Bowdoin College2.730.0%1st Place
-
10.49Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Wallace | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Corey Hall | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% |
| Katii Gullick | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 11.1% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.