← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kalea Woodard 18.1% 16.4% 18.4% 15.3% 13.0% 9.4% 5.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily Alfortish 29.6% 24.2% 17.2% 11.9% 8.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lyla Solway 9.1% 8.7% 11.2% 11.5% 14.0% 14.1% 14.0% 10.2% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Julia Scott 5.9% 8.2% 9.7% 10.7% 10.4% 14.0% 17.0% 13.6% 8.3% 2.1% 0.1%
Ashton Loring 13.8% 15.6% 14.5% 17.2% 15.2% 10.8% 7.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Daniella Woodbridge 3.2% 5.3% 5.2% 6.5% 9.0% 11.8% 15.2% 18.6% 17.3% 6.5% 1.4%
Kaitlyn Liebel 14.2% 14.8% 15.0% 14.8% 13.8% 13.1% 7.6% 5.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Emma Gumny 3.0% 3.4% 4.7% 6.6% 8.6% 11.8% 14.8% 19.2% 18.5% 7.7% 1.8%
Ava Moring 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 4.9% 6.6% 10.2% 16.4% 26.2% 20.2% 5.2%
Olivia Figley 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 4.1% 7.0% 13.5% 39.0% 29.1%
Ashley Flanagan 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 3.5% 7.0% 21.9% 62.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.