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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+2.76vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.72+2.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.11+6.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.33+2.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.41+6.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.25+0.12vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93+6.34vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.62-0.18vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.91+0.04vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.41+1.10vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-4.92vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-0.11vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California-1.45-1.78vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-1.24-3.81vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.11-0.90vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.15-1.75vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-4.70vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.00-4.50vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-5.12vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-3.08-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76California Poly Maritime Academy0.9120.9%1st Place
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4.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.7216.1%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Santa Cruz0.3010.7%1st Place
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10.75University of California at San Diego-1.113.4%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Berkeley-0.336.6%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Davis-1.412.4%1st Place
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7.12University of California at Berkeley-0.257.4%1st Place
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14.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.931.5%1st Place
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8.82Arizona State University-0.624.3%1st Place
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10.04Arizona State University-0.914.2%1st Place
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12.1University of California at San Diego-1.412.2%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Santa Cruz-0.177.0%1st Place
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12.89University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.4%1st Place
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12.22University of Southern California-1.451.7%1st Place
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11.19San Diego State University-1.243.5%1st Place
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15.1Arizona State University-2.110.9%1st Place
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15.25University of California at Davis-2.150.7%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Los Angeles-1.731.8%1st Place
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14.5University of California at Los Angeles-2.001.5%1st Place
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14.88University of California at Los Angeles-2.101.2%1st Place
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18.11University of California at San Diego-3.080.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Skewes | 20.9% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Milne | 16.1% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Fiona Wu | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Gavin Hirz | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Dante Massaro | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| John Gallagher | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Liam Hoole | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.4% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Siobhan Dornfried | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.