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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+7.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+6.07vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.91+6.54vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.93vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43+6.92vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+1.05vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-0.38vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.28-0.30vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.35-1.53vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-1.80vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.29vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-2.47vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-3.32vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.54vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.11-1.87vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.82-6.25vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.92-7.37vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.92-4.19vs Predicted
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20University of Minnesota2.13-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.07Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.54Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.92Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.62Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.7Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.47Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.2College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.68Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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12.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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14.13Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.75Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.63Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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14.81University of Wisconsin1.920.0%1st Place
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14.24University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Mary Hall | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 18.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Haley Powell | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Whitney Kent | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 22.1% |
| Alison Kent | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.