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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+5.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+2.36vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+1.40vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.53+5.55vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+4.81vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.90+1.51vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.66+1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.12+2.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.22+1.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+2.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.25+2.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.43-2.02vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.21vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.21-3.71vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-1.66vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.35-6.01vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.60vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.58-2.59vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-0.63vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-2.27vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.27-3.87vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-3.19vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.46-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67University of California at Los Angeles1.488.4%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.7817.2%1st Place
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4.4California Poly Maritime Academy1.9917.4%1st Place
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9.55San Diego State University0.534.9%1st Place
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9.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.5%1st Place
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7.51University of Southern California0.907.2%1st Place
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8.42Arizona State University0.666.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Hawaii0.123.5%1st Place
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10.45University of California at San Diego0.223.6%1st Place
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12.13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.172.6%1st Place
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13.5University of California at Berkeley-0.251.6%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Los Angeles0.434.2%1st Place
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12.79University of California at San Diego-0.332.5%1st Place
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10.29University of Southern California0.214.1%1st Place
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13.34University of California at Santa Cruz-0.402.7%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Berkeley0.354.0%1st Place
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16.4University of California at San Diego-1.131.1%1st Place
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15.41University of California at Davis-0.581.3%1st Place
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18.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.1%1st Place
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17.73University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.9%1st Place
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17.13San Diego State University-1.271.0%1st Place
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18.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.5%1st Place
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18.1University of California at San Diego-1.460.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.2% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 17.4% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| karl zoghbi | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Chloe Schofield | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 18.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.3% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 23.9% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.