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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.91+9.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.75vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+5.98vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+6.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+7.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.14vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+3.47vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87+2.55vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.20+0.06vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.28-1.18vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.92+4.00vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.27-2.94vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-4.83vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-6.29vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.11-0.95vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.35-7.61vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota2.13-3.01vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.92-7.40vs Predicted
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19Columbia University2.43-6.30vs Predicted
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20Brown University2.82-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.98University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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11.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.55Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.06College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.82Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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15.0University of Wisconsin1.920.0%1st Place
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9.06Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.17Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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14.05Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.39Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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13.99University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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10.6Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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12.7Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.11Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaye Siemers | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| Mary Hall | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 23.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 17.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Alison Kent | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.0% |
| Haley Powell | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.