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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.73vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+7.19vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+7.86vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.96vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+2.75vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.91+4.68vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35+1.77vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.22vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.43+3.69vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.42vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-3.16vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.13+1.43vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.92+0.91vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.28-6.14vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-5.88vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.82-6.18vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.92-7.38vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.27-10.19vs Predicted
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20Fordham University2.11-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.19College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.86Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.75Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.68Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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8.77Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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12.69Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.99University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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14.43University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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14.91University of Wisconsin1.920.0%1st Place
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8.86Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.82Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.81Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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14.33Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Alison Kent | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 17.8% |
| Whitney Kent | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 23.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Haley Powell | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.