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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+3.45vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.21+8.47vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+9.31vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.66+3.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.22+3.43vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.43+1.84vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.53+0.55vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.13+6.43vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.90-3.60vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.71vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.35-3.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-1.88vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61+3.11vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.58-0.45vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii0.12-6.07vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.27-0.73vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.25-5.82vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-10.06vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-3.26vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.46-3.81vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45California Poly Maritime Academy1.9917.6%1st Place
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10.47University of Southern California0.214.0%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.7817.1%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Santa Cruz-0.402.1%1st Place
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8.35Arizona State University0.665.9%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Los Angeles1.489.6%1st Place
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10.43University of California at San Diego0.223.6%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Los Angeles0.434.6%1st Place
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9.55San Diego State University0.534.9%1st Place
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16.43University of California at San Diego-1.130.7%1st Place
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7.4University of Southern California0.907.4%1st Place
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12.71University of California at San Diego-0.331.9%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Berkeley0.354.0%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.172.9%1st Place
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18.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.4%1st Place
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15.55University of California at Davis-0.580.8%1st Place
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10.93University of Hawaii0.122.9%1st Place
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17.27San Diego State University-1.270.9%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Berkeley-0.251.7%1st Place
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9.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.515.0%1st Place
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17.74University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.7%1st Place
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18.19University of California at San Diego-1.460.8%1st Place
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18.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Paquin | 17.6% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.1% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| karl zoghbi | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Schofield | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 19.3% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Max Case | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 13.1% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 16.9% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.