← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.85+8.54vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.41vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont3.24+5.00vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.71+6.23vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.93+4.22vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+5.17vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida2.51+4.46vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.47+3.13vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.01-0.23vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.71+0.28vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.29-3.27vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.97-2.72vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.91vs Predicted
-
14Columbia University1.30+2.00vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-8.13vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.92vs Predicted
-
17University of Minnesota2.01-3.69vs Predicted
-
18Stanford University3.23-10.06vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin1.34-3.20vs Predicted
-
20Fordham University1.43-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.54Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
9.41U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
8.0University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
-
10.23Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.22College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
11.46University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
-
11.13Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
-
8.77Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
10.28Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
7.73Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.28Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
11.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
16.0Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
13.31University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
-
7.94Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
15.8University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
-
15.71Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Kayla Gibson | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Liana Folger | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Emily Billing | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 27.8% |
| Mayumi Roller | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 23.8% |
| Madeleine Sims | 0.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.