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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.72+3.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.25+5.35vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+1.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+2.22vs Predicted
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6-0.33+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.41+5.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.11+2.88vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+1.36vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.62-1.33vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.91-1.17vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.60+0.95vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-1.45-0.66vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93+0.27vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.41-2.76vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.09-5.29vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-2.05vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.15-3.12vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.11-4.04vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-3.08-1.96vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-2.96-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.7217.8%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Berkeley-0.256.5%1st Place
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3.82California Poly Maritime Academy0.9121.3%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.3010.9%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Santa Cruz-0.177.1%1st Place
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7.68-0.335.5%1st Place
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12.18University of California at Davis-1.412.4%1st Place
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10.88University of California at San Diego-1.112.5%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Los Angeles-0.963.5%1st Place
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8.67Arizona State University-0.624.8%1st Place
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9.83Arizona State University-0.913.6%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.8%1st Place
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12.34University of Southern California-1.451.9%1st Place
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14.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.931.1%1st Place
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12.24University of California at San Diego-1.412.2%1st Place
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10.71San Diego State University-1.093.1%1st Place
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14.95University of California at Los Angeles-2.100.9%1st Place
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14.88University of California at Davis-2.151.4%1st Place
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14.96Arizona State University-2.110.8%1st Place
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18.04University of California at San Diego-3.080.4%1st Place
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17.84University of California at Los Angeles-2.960.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Milne | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 21.3% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Wu | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Hirz | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Gallagher | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Liam Hoole | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Adeline Spencer | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 6.4% |
| Bryson Dort | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 6.6% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 19.4% | 35.9% |
| Fadia Nitrosso | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 19.4% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.