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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+8.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.48vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+7.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+3.66vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.01+8.28vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.18vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85+2.96vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.24-0.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.58vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.47+1.38vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.23-3.01vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-2.88vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.71-2.37vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.97-5.01vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.34+0.69vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.51-4.92vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-10.30vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.43-2.32vs Predicted
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19Columbia University1.30-3.03vs Predicted
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20Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.42Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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13.28University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.96Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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11.38Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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7.99Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.12Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.63Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.99Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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15.69University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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11.08University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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6.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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15.68Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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15.97Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Gibson | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Emily Billing | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 6.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 18.0% | 27.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Madeleine Sims | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 24.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 19.3% | 27.7% |
| Liana Folger | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.