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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University0.53+8.46vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+0.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+8.24vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.12+4.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.35+2.67vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.72vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.25+4.52vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.22+0.25vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.90-3.51vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.66-3.71vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.43-3.27vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-1.63vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.58+0.76vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.33-3.15vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.21-6.77vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61+0.31vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-0.03vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.27-2.82vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-3.09vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.46-3.77vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.13-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.46San Diego State University0.535.1%1st Place
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4.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.9917.6%1st Place
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6.59University of California at Los Angeles1.488.6%1st Place
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4.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.7818.4%1st Place
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13.24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.401.9%1st Place
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10.95University of Hawaii0.123.1%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Berkeley0.353.8%1st Place
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9.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.7%1st Place
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13.52University of California at Berkeley-0.251.9%1st Place
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10.25University of California at San Diego0.223.6%1st Place
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7.49University of Southern California0.906.6%1st Place
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8.29Arizona State University0.667.3%1st Place
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9.73University of California at Los Angeles0.434.0%1st Place
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12.37University of California at Santa Cruz-0.171.9%1st Place
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15.76University of California at Davis-0.581.0%1st Place
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12.85University of California at San Diego-0.331.9%1st Place
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10.23University of Southern California0.214.6%1st Place
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18.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.5%1st Place
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18.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.5%1st Place
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17.18San Diego State University-1.270.8%1st Place
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17.91University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.7%1st Place
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18.23University of California at San Diego-1.460.7%1st Place
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16.54University of California at San Diego-1.130.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brock Paquin | 17.6% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 18.4% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| karl zoghbi | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Schofield | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 17.8% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 26.6% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 13.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.