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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+6.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.45vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+4.07vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+5.04vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+2.64vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.93+3.32vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.36vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+2.06vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.65vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-1.09vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-1.35vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.47-0.42vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.51-1.49vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.71-3.82vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.34+0.75vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.01-2.67vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-1.08vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-6.83vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.23-11.14vs Predicted
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20Fordham University1.43-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.64Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.32College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.91Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.65Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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11.58Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.51University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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10.18Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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15.75University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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13.33University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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15.92Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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15.71Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Mayumi Roller | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Emily Billing | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Gibson | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 17.2% | 28.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 25.3% |
| Liana Folger | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.