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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.72+3.23vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.25+4.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+3.15vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.91+5.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-0.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.33+0.45vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.62+0.66vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93+5.30vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.60+3.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.41+0.94vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-2.11+3.09vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.11-2.19vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.41-1.77vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California-1.45-2.51vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.00-1.56vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-2.12vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.24-6.62vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.15-3.90vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-6.70vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-3.08-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.7217.5%1st Place
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3.76California Poly Maritime Academy0.9120.3%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Berkeley-0.257.4%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.177.1%1st Place
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10.05Arizona State University-0.913.0%1st Place
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5.37University of California at Santa Cruz0.3012.4%1st Place
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7.45University of California at Berkeley-0.337.2%1st Place
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8.66Arizona State University-0.625.1%1st Place
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14.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.931.1%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.4%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Davis-1.412.6%1st Place
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15.09Arizona State University-2.111.2%1st Place
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10.81University of California at San Diego-1.112.3%1st Place
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12.23University of California at San Diego-1.412.1%1st Place
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12.49University of Southern California-1.451.7%1st Place
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14.44University of California at Los Angeles-2.001.3%1st Place
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14.88University of California at Los Angeles-2.101.3%1st Place
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11.38San Diego State University-1.242.4%1st Place
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15.1University of California at Davis-2.150.8%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Los Angeles-1.731.4%1st Place
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18.01University of California at San Diego-3.080.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Milne | 17.5% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 20.3% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dante Massaro | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Summer Drake | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Wu | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| John Gallagher | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Hayden shaw | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 10.4% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Liam Hoole | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Siobhan Dornfried | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.