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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+8.30vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.24+5.92vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+7.39vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.47+7.45vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.51+6.13vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.01+7.59vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.23+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.34+7.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.63vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-3.19vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+0.24vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-4.07vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-2.99vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.91vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.72-0.48vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.71-5.66vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.97-8.10vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.01-9.02vs Predicted
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19Columbia University1.30-2.99vs Predicted
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20U. S. Naval Academy2.88-10.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.3College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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10.39Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.45Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.13University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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8.29Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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15.8University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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6.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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11.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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7.93Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.01Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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14.52Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.34Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.9Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.98Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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16.01Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Gibson | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Crane | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 26.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Liana Folger | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Emily Billing | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 17.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 29.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.