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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+3.55vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.21+8.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.89vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.66+4.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-0.63vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.53+3.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.25+6.54vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.90-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.12+0.89vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.35-1.08vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-1.99vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-0.78vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-0.72vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.22-4.82vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.33-3.21vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-0.58-1.32vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61+0.38vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.51vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.27-2.81vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-2.08vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-4.45vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.46-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55California Poly Maritime Academy1.9916.7%1st Place
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10.41University of Southern California0.213.9%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Los Angeles1.488.1%1st Place
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8.26Arizona State University0.665.6%1st Place
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4.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.7817.8%1st Place
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9.22San Diego State University0.534.7%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Berkeley-0.252.6%1st Place
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7.41University of Southern California0.907.5%1st Place
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9.76University of California at Los Angeles0.434.2%1st Place
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10.89University of Hawaii0.123.4%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Berkeley0.354.5%1st Place
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10.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.1%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Santa Cruz-0.172.3%1st Place
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13.28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.401.8%1st Place
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10.18University of California at San Diego0.224.2%1st Place
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12.79University of California at San Diego-0.331.8%1st Place
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15.68University of California at Davis-0.581.7%1st Place
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18.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.6%1st Place
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16.49University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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17.19San Diego State University-1.270.9%1st Place
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18.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.9%1st Place
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17.55University of California at Los Angeles-1.391.0%1st Place
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18.11University of California at San Diego-1.460.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Paquin | 16.7% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.8% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| karl zoghbi | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Chloe Schofield | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 18.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 24.4% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.