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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.71+9.23vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+4.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+6.07vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.24+3.94vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+6.13vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97+3.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.78vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.47+3.21vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.34+6.94vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.51+1.22vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.29-3.19vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.23-3.84vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.52vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.31vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.72-0.50vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.01-2.60vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.71-6.85vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.85-8.25vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston2.93-9.68vs Predicted
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20Columbia University1.30-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.07Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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11.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.17Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.21Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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15.94University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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11.22University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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7.81Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.16Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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14.5Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.15Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.75Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.32College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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16.16Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Liana Folger | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Leslie Poole | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 27.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Emily Billing | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 15.4% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Kayla Gibson | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.