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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+5.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.54vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+8.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+3.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.70vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.71+4.41vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.24+1.24vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.93+1.09vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85+0.55vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.90vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.47+0.46vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-2.67vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-3.70vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.30+2.05vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.51-3.81vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.72-1.46vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.23-9.22vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota2.01-4.49vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.34-3.14vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University2.71-9.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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7.69Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.41Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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9.55Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.46Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.33Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.3Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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16.05Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.19University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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14.54Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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7.78Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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13.51University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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15.86University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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10.49Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Liana Folger | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Emily Billing | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Gibson | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 29.8% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 16.3% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 27.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.