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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.25+6.16vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+1.84vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.72+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-1.41+7.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.33+2.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+0.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.60+5.78vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California-1.45+4.36vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.11+6.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.11+0.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.00+3.41vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93+2.27vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.90vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.24-2.73vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.15+0.18vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-3.08+2.12vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-11.46vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.91-7.98vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-0.62-10.32vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-4.89vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16University of California at Berkeley-0.257.0%1st Place
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3.84California Poly Maritime Academy0.9120.1%1st Place
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4.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.7217.2%1st Place
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11.9University of California at Davis-1.412.5%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Berkeley-0.336.2%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Santa Cruz-0.178.2%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.602.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Southern California-1.451.8%1st Place
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15.05Arizona State University-2.111.1%1st Place
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10.94University of California at San Diego-1.112.9%1st Place
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14.41University of California at Los Angeles-2.001.3%1st Place
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14.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.931.4%1st Place
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12.1University of California at San Diego-1.411.8%1st Place
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11.27San Diego State University-1.242.6%1st Place
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15.18University of California at Davis-2.151.3%1st Place
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18.12University of California at San Diego-3.080.4%1st Place
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5.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.3010.1%1st Place
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10.02Arizona State University-0.913.2%1st Place
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8.68Arizona State University-0.625.5%1st Place
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15.11University of California at Los Angeles-2.101.1%1st Place
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13.39University of California at Los Angeles-1.732.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Jacobs | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 20.1% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Milne | 17.2% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Fiona Wu | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dante Massaro | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Gallagher | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Liam Hoole | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Hayden shaw | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Siobhan Dornfried | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.6% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Bryson Dort | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 44.1% |
| Summer Drake | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Hirz | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 9.1% |
| Andrew Bistras | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.