Race 10A

women-emily-wick-sloop-shrew

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Emily Lambert 9.5% 9.6% 9.8% 8.1% 8.5% 7.4% 8.1% 6.0% 6.5% 5.0% 5.8% 4.6% 4.5% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5%
Morgan Wilson 7.1% 8.4% 6.8% 7.7% 6.2% 6.0% 7.5% 6.4% 6.8% 5.3% 6.0% 5.9% 6.3% 5.6% 4.4% 3.6%
Chandler Salisbury 6.2% 5.3% 4.9% 7.4% 5.1% 6.7% 7.6% 7.0% 5.5% 6.0% 7.9% 6.9% 7.1% 6.9% 4.7% 4.8%
Elizabeth Barry 9.2% 11.0% 8.9% 8.8% 7.7% 8.1% 7.1% 7.0% 6.2% 6.0% 4.5% 5.6% 4.2% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1%
Lucy Wallace 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 3.9% 5.4% 5.9% 4.4% 5.1% 6.0% 6.5% 7.9% 6.6% 7.7% 8.1% 9.5% 10.1%
Corey Hall 5.1% 4.4% 7.2% 7.0% 7.5% 6.4% 5.8% 5.4% 6.6% 6.2% 5.6% 6.7% 5.9% 8.1% 6.5% 5.6%
Alexandra Arntsen 4.7% 3.7% 4.5% 5.0% 3.7% 5.4% 4.8% 4.1% 4.6% 5.5% 7.5% 6.3% 8.1% 9.0% 10.8% 12.3%
Claire Dennis 7.8% 9.2% 7.5% 7.5% 8.0% 6.3% 6.3% 7.0% 5.8% 8.8% 6.3% 5.2% 4.3% 4.3% 3.0% 2.7%
Elizabeth Glivinski 3.6% 4.1% 4.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.4% 4.3% 5.8% 5.6% 5.2% 5.6% 8.3% 8.4% 8.1% 9.2% 15.4%
Natalie Salk 7.9% 5.9% 7.1% 7.1% 7.8% 6.2% 6.9% 8.4% 7.3% 7.5% 7.3% 5.7% 4.7% 4.3% 3.7% 2.2%
Emily Maxwell 8.4% 7.3% 7.1% 7.5% 7.3% 6.4% 6.5% 7.6% 7.1% 6.9% 6.0% 6.4% 4.5% 4.7% 4.2% 2.1%
Charlotte Williamson 3.7% 3.4% 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 5.3% 5.2% 4.9% 5.0% 5.8% 5.3% 6.7% 7.0% 8.3% 10.6% 16.4%
Mayumi Roller 6.9% 8.8% 7.6% 7.0% 7.6% 7.0% 6.9% 6.1% 8.3% 7.4% 4.5% 5.7% 4.5% 5.3% 4.1% 2.3%
Chanel Miller 4.9% 5.2% 4.9% 4.6% 5.1% 6.6% 6.0% 6.1% 6.8% 5.8% 6.8% 6.1% 7.0% 8.2% 8.6% 7.3%
Katii Gullick 4.9% 3.9% 4.1% 4.1% 5.4% 5.8% 5.0% 6.1% 5.3% 5.0% 6.9% 7.4% 8.0% 9.1% 10.5% 8.5%
Krysta Rohde 5.8% 5.5% 6.9% 6.8% 6.2% 6.1% 7.6% 7.0% 6.6% 7.1% 6.1% 5.9% 7.8% 4.6% 5.9% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.