← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.26+1.75vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida0.99+1.54vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.48+1.02vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.01+1.10vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University0.12-0.92vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College-0.13-0.39vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina-0.92-0.22vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami-0.75-1.41vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University-2.55+0.44vs Predicted
-
10University of Central Florida-3.16+0.13vs Predicted
-
11University of Florida-0.86-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.75College of Charleston1.2628.5%1st Place
-
3.54University of South Florida0.9918.9%1st Place
-
4.02Jacksonville University0.4814.1%1st Place
-
5.1North Carolina State University0.017.6%1st Place
-
4.08Clemson University0.1214.2%1st Place
-
5.61Rollins College-0.136.5%1st Place
-
6.78University of North Carolina-0.924.0%1st Place
-
6.59University of Miami-0.753.7%1st Place
-
9.44Florida State University-2.550.7%1st Place
-
10.13University of Central Florida-3.160.5%1st Place
-
7.97University of Florida-0.861.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Alfortish | 28.5% | 24.6% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 18.9% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 14.1% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 14.2% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Gumny | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 12.8% | 38.5% | 30.4% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 8.0% | 21.4% | 60.6% |
| Ava Moring | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 27.2% | 19.7% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.