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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+6.91vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.24+5.92vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+4.78vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.94vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97+4.08vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+4.43vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+4.53vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71+2.04vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01-0.20vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85-0.29vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.47+0.46vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.70vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.51-1.48vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.30+2.08vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.49vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.01-2.66vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-6.42vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.72-3.28vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston2.93-9.75vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin1.34-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.78Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.08Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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10.04Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.8Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.71Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.46Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.52University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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16.08Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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13.34University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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14.72Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.25College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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16.09University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Crane | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Billing | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Mayumi Roller | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Liana Folger | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 31.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 15.9% |
| Kayla Gibson | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 17.5% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.