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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+5.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.55vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+7.51vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+5.69vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.71+5.28vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.23+2.10vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.24+1.22vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+0.96vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.47+2.35vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.29-2.25vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-1.97vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.69vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.30+3.37vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.72+0.62vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-4.21vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.51-4.79vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-5.92vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota2.01-4.41vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston2.93-9.70vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin1.53-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.51Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.1Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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8.96Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.35Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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7.75Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.03Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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16.37Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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14.62Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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11.21University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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9.3College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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15.45University of Wisconsin1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Emily Billing | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 18.0% | 33.7% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 16.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Liana Folger | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% |
| Kayla Gibson | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Molly Sitter | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.